HonestElo
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Ion Cutelaba

Active #31 light heavyweight · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1534 ±37
LCB 1486
Rank
#31
top 65% of division
UFC record
9-10-1
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d +21 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
W by Submission

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Jun 18, 2016 — L vs Misha Cirkunov Δ-27Oct 1, 2016 — W vs Jonathan Wilson Δ+31Dec 3, 2016 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-28Jun 10, 2017 — W vs Henrique da Silva Δ+35Jul 28, 2018 — W vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Δ+39Apr 27, 2019 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-13Sep 28, 2019 — W vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Δ+19Feb 29, 2020 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-18Oct 24, 2020 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-15May 1, 2021 — D vs Dustin Jacoby Δ0Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Devin Clark Δ+16May 14, 2022 — L vs Ryan Spann Δ-16Sep 10, 2022 — L vs Johnny Walker Δ-18Nov 19, 2022 — L vs Kennedy Nzechukwu Δ-17Apr 15, 2023 — W vs Tanner Boser Δ+20Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Philipe Lins Δ-14Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Ivan Erslan Δ+16Feb 22, 2025 — W vs Ibo Aslan Δ+21May 10, 2025 — L vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ-17Mar 14, 2026 — W vs Oumar Sy Δ+21 14331473151415541595 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.6,"elo":1473,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Misha Cirkunov","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":1,"x":49.2,"y":143.2,"elo":1504,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Jonathan Wilson","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":64.3,"y":180.6,"elo":1475,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":109.5,"y":134.6,"elo":1510,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Henrique da Silva","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":208.5,"y":84,"elo":1549,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Gadzhimurad Antigulov","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":5,"x":273.9,"y":100.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":310.8,"y":76.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Khalil Rountree Jr.","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":347.7,"y":100.1,"elo":1537,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":404.7,"y":120.3,"elo":1521,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":450,"y":121,"elo":1521,"date":"2021-05-01","opp":"Dustin Jacoby","result":"D","delta":0},{"i":10,"x":483.5,"y":100.1,"elo":1537,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":540.6,"y":121.2,"elo":1520,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":569.1,"y":144.4,"elo":1503,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":585.9,"y":166.3,"elo":1486,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Kennedy Nzechukwu","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":14,"x":621.1,"y":139.8,"elo":1506,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Tanner Boser","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":15,"x":699.9,"y":158.4,"elo":1492,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Philipe Lins","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":748.5,"y":136.9,"elo":1508,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Ivan Erslan","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":783.8,"y":109.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2025-02-22","opp":"Ibo Aslan","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":18,"x":802.2,"y":131.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":103.5,"elo":1534,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Oumar Sy","result":"W","delta":21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Oumar Sy W +21
May 10, 2025 Modestas Bukauskas L -17
Feb 22, 2025 Ibo Aslan W +21
Sep 28, 2024 Ivan Erslan W +16
Mar 9, 2024 Philipe Lins L -14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.55 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.75 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.16 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
49% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
76% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.16 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
6 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
2
22% of wins
DEC
3
33% of wins
KO: 4 (44%) 4 Sub: 2 (22%) 2 Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
6 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1537
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.2
actual 0 vs expected