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Brad Tavares

Active #38 middleweight · age 38 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 18
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · UFC Fight Night Oklahoma
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2010
Elo rating
1500
Global Elo 1545 ±34
Rank
#38
top 53% of division
UFC record
16-12-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 14
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -42
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
6h 4m
Avg fight time
13:01
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.8
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

28 fights · tap & drag
Jun 19, 2010 — W vs Seth Baczynski Δ+29Jan 1, 2011 — W vs Phil Baroni Δ+28Jul 2, 2011 — L vs Aaron Simpson Δ-30May 15, 2012 — W vs Dongi Yang Δ+25Sep 29, 2012 — W vs Tom Watson Δ+25Mar 2, 2013 — W vs Riki Fukuda Δ+13Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Robert McDaniel Δ+13Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Lorenz Larkin Δ+12Apr 19, 2014 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-16Aug 16, 2014 — L vs Tim Boetsch Δ-21Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+17May 9, 2015 — L vs Robert Whittaker Δ-20Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Caio Magalhaes Δ+16Jul 7, 2017 — W vs Elias Theodorou Δ+17Oct 7, 2017 — W vs Thales Leites Δ+17Apr 14, 2018 — W vs Krzysztof Jotko Δ+15Jul 6, 2018 — L vs Israel Adesanya Δ-20Nov 2, 2019 — L vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ-20Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Antonio Carlos Junior Δ+15Jul 10, 2021 — W vs Omari Akhmedov Δ+15Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Dricus Du Plessis Δ-19Apr 22, 2023 — L vs Bruno Silva Δ-21Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Chris Weidman Δ+19Feb 10, 2024 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-19Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Junyong Park Δ-17Apr 5, 2025 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+16Sep 6, 2025 — L vs Robert Bryczek Δ-24Mar 14, 2026 — L vs Eryk Anders Δ-17 14501475150015251550157516001625 20132016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":347.3,"elo":1484,"date":"2010-06-19","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":114.6,"y":296.4,"elo":1512,"date":"2011-01-01","opp":"Phil Baroni","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":137.4,"y":351.3,"elo":1482,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Aaron Simpson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":177.2,"y":304.9,"elo":1508,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Dongi Yang","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":194.4,"y":260.1,"elo":1532,"date":"2012-09-29","opp":"Tom Watson","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":213.7,"y":237,"elo":1545,"date":"2013-03-02","opp":"Riki Fukuda","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":236.1,"y":212.3,"elo":1558,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Robert McDaniel","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":253.6,"y":190.4,"elo":1570,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":8,"x":265.4,"y":220.6,"elo":1554,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":280.3,"y":258.8,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":10,"x":297.8,"y":227.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":313.6,"y":264.8,"elo":1529,"date":"2015-05-09","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":375,"y":235.7,"elo":1545,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Caio Magalhaes","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":412.6,"y":205.2,"elo":1562,"date":"2017-07-07","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":14,"x":424.1,"y":174.3,"elo":1579,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":447.8,"y":146.1,"elo":1594,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Krzysztof Jotko","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":458.2,"y":182,"elo":1575,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":518.8,"y":219.1,"elo":1554,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":18,"x":575,"y":192.6,"elo":1569,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Antonio Carlos Junior","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":19,"x":596,"y":164.4,"elo":1584,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":20,"x":640.7,"y":198.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Dricus Du Plessis","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":21,"x":677.6,"y":237.4,"elo":1544,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":22,"x":692.5,"y":203,"elo":1563,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":23,"x":714.4,"y":238.7,"elo":1544,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":24,"x":745.1,"y":270.1,"elo":1527,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Junyong Park","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":25,"x":767,"y":241.8,"elo":1542,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":26,"x":786.3,"y":286.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2025-09-06","opp":"Robert Bryczek","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":27,"x":810,"y":318.6,"elo":1500,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Eryk Anders L -17
Sep 6, 2025 Robert Bryczek L -24
Apr 5, 2025 Gerald Meerschaert W +16
Oct 12, 2024 Junyong Park L -17
Feb 10, 2024 Gregory Rodrigues L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
13%
2 / 16
Finish rate
KO
2
13% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
14
88% of wins
KO: 2 (13%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 14 (88%) 14
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1243 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
6 of 12 · usually R1
6 KO/TKO 0 Sub 6 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Chris Weidman
Elo 1650 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
15.3
+0.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 28 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1529
Notable wins
Chris Weidman 1650 Thales Leites 1626 Elias Theodorou 1605 Nate Marquardt 1601

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Brad Tavares on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.