HonestElo
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Brad Tavares

Active #43 middleweight · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1545 ±35
LCB 1500
Rank
#43
top 53% of division
UFC record
16-12-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 14
Streak
-2
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -26
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

28 fights · tap & drag
Jun 19, 2010 — W vs Seth Baczynski Δ+29Jan 1, 2011 — W vs Phil Baroni Δ+28Jul 2, 2011 — L vs Aaron Simpson Δ-30May 15, 2012 — W vs Dongi Yang Δ+25Sep 29, 2012 — W vs Tom Watson Δ+25Mar 2, 2013 — W vs Riki Fukuda Δ+13Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Robert McDaniel Δ+13Jan 15, 2014 — W vs Lorenz Larkin Δ+12Apr 19, 2014 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-16Aug 16, 2014 — L vs Tim Boetsch Δ-21Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+17May 9, 2015 — L vs Robert Whittaker Δ-20Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Caio Magalhaes Δ+16Jul 7, 2017 — W vs Elias Theodorou Δ+17Oct 7, 2017 — W vs Thales Leites Δ+17Apr 14, 2018 — W vs Krzysztof Jotko Δ+15Jul 6, 2018 — L vs Israel Adesanya Δ-20Nov 2, 2019 — L vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ-20Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Antonio Carlos Junior Δ+15Jul 10, 2021 — W vs Omari Akhmedov Δ+15Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Dricus Du Plessis Δ-19Apr 22, 2023 — L vs Bruno Silva Δ-21Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Chris Weidman Δ+19Feb 10, 2024 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-19Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Junyong Park Δ-17Apr 5, 2025 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+16Sep 6, 2025 — L vs Robert Bryczek Δ-24Mar 14, 2026 — L vs Eryk Anders Δ-17 14871535158316311679 20132016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":189.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2010-06-19","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":53.1,"y":158.8,"elo":1557,"date":"2011-01-01","opp":"Phil Baroni","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":80,"y":191.9,"elo":1527,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Aaron Simpson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":127.2,"y":163.9,"elo":1552,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Dongi Yang","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":147.5,"y":136.8,"elo":1577,"date":"2012-09-29","opp":"Tom Watson","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":170.3,"y":122.9,"elo":1589,"date":"2013-03-02","opp":"Riki Fukuda","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":196.9,"y":108,"elo":1603,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Robert McDaniel","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":217.6,"y":94.8,"elo":1615,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":8,"x":231.6,"y":113,"elo":1598,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":249.2,"y":136.1,"elo":1577,"date":"2014-08-16","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":10,"x":269.9,"y":117.2,"elo":1594,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":288.6,"y":139.7,"elo":1574,"date":"2015-05-09","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":361.3,"y":122.2,"elo":1590,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Caio Magalhaes","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":405.7,"y":103.7,"elo":1607,"date":"2017-07-07","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":14,"x":419.4,"y":85.1,"elo":1623,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":447.4,"y":68.1,"elo":1639,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Krzysztof Jotko","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":459.7,"y":89.7,"elo":1619,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":531.5,"y":112.1,"elo":1599,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":18,"x":597.9,"y":96.1,"elo":1613,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Antonio Carlos Junior","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":19,"x":622.8,"y":79.2,"elo":1629,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":20,"x":675.7,"y":99.9,"elo":1610,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Dricus Du Plessis","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":21,"x":719.3,"y":123.2,"elo":1589,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":22,"x":736.9,"y":102.4,"elo":1608,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":23,"x":762.9,"y":123.9,"elo":1588,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":24,"x":799.2,"y":142.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Junyong Park","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":25,"x":825.1,"y":125.8,"elo":1587,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":26,"x":848,"y":152.7,"elo":1562,"date":"2025-09-06","opp":"Robert Bryczek","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":27,"x":876,"y":172.1,"elo":1545,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Eryk Anders L -17
Sep 6, 2025 Robert Bryczek L -24
Apr 5, 2025 Gerald Meerschaert W +16
Oct 12, 2024 Junyong Park L -17
Feb 10, 2024 Gregory Rodrigues L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.23 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.14 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.66 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
27% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
80% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
13%
2 / 16
Finish rate
KO
2
13% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
14
88% of wins
KO: 2 (13%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 14 (88%) 14
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1541
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
15.3
actual +1 vs expected