HonestElo
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Navajo Stirling

Active #6 light heavyweight
Elo rating
1604 ±20
LCB 1578
Rank
#6
top 11% of division
UFC record
4-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
+4
Δ90d +26 · Δ1y +77
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Tuco Tokkos Δ+26May 10, 2025 — W vs Ivan Erslan Δ+24Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Rodolfo Bellato Δ+27Mar 28, 2026 — W vs Bruno Lopes Δ+26 14861525156516041644 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":182.1,"elo":1526,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Tuco Tokkos","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":291,"y":149.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Ivan Erslan","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":545.4,"y":112.6,"elo":1578,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Rodolfo Bellato","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":77.9,"elo":1604,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Bruno Lopes","result":"W","delta":26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Bruno Lopes W +26
Sep 27, 2025 Rodolfo Bellato W +27
May 10, 2025 Ivan Erslan W +24
Dec 14, 2024 Tuco Tokkos W +26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
6.04 avg 3.58
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.53 avg 3.41
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 49%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.09 avg 0.71
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1493
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.3
actual +2 vs expected