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Kelvin Gastelum

Active #24 middleweight · age 34 · Southpaw · 5'9" 175 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Sep 12
vs Yousri Belgaroui · UFC Fight Night Glendale
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Elo rating
1553
Global Elo 1595 ±32
Rank
#24
top 33% of division
UFC record
14-11-0 (1 NC)
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 9
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Apr 11, 2026
Loss by Submission · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

26 fights · tap & drag
Apr 13, 2013 — W vs Uriah Hall Δ+36Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Brian Melancon Δ+34Mar 15, 2014 — W vs Rick Story Δ+32Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Nicholas Musoke Δ+25Nov 15, 2014 — W vs Jake Ellenberger Δ+31Jan 31, 2015 — L vs Tyron Woodley Δ-19Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+16Nov 21, 2015 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-18Jul 9, 2016 — W vs Johny Hendricks Δ+17Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Tim Kennedy Δ+14Mar 11, 2017 — NC vs Vitor Belfort Δ0Jul 22, 2017 — L vs Chris Weidman Δ-18Nov 25, 2017 — W vs Michael Bisping Δ+20May 12, 2018 — W vs Jacare Souza Δ+16Apr 13, 2019 — L vs Israel Adesanya Δ-21Nov 2, 2019 — L vs Darren Till Δ-19Jul 18, 2020 — L vs Jack Hermansson Δ-21Feb 13, 2021 — W vs Ian Heinisch Δ+13Apr 17, 2021 — L vs Robert Whittaker Δ-13Aug 21, 2021 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-18Apr 8, 2023 — W vs Chris Curtis Δ+16Dec 2, 2023 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-17Jun 22, 2024 — W vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ+16Jun 7, 2025 — L vs Joe Pyfer Δ-17Sep 13, 2025 — W vs Dustin Stoltzfus Δ+9Apr 11, 2026 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-17 145015001550160016501700 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":352.9,"elo":1495,"date":"2013-04-13","opp":"Uriah Hall","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":110.8,"y":309.9,"elo":1528,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Brian Melancon","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":141,"y":269.3,"elo":1560,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Rick Story","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":156.9,"y":236.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Nicholas Musoke","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":178.1,"y":197.5,"elo":1616,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":189.8,"y":222.2,"elo":1597,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":210,"y":202.4,"elo":1612,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":234.4,"y":225.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2015-11-21","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":269.5,"y":203.4,"elo":1611,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":292.8,"y":185.5,"elo":1625,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Tim Kennedy","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":306.6,"y":185.5,"elo":1625,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"NC","delta":0},{"i":11,"x":326.8,"y":207.9,"elo":1608,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":345.9,"y":182,"elo":1628,"date":"2017-11-25","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":371.4,"y":161,"elo":1645,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":422.4,"y":187.9,"elo":1624,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":15,"x":453.2,"y":211.9,"elo":1605,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Darren Till","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":492.5,"y":239.4,"elo":1583,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":17,"x":524.3,"y":222.7,"elo":1596,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Ian Heinisch","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":18,"x":533.9,"y":240,"elo":1583,"date":"2021-04-17","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":553,"y":263.7,"elo":1564,"date":"2021-08-21","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":20,"x":643.3,"y":243.1,"elo":1580,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":21,"x":679.4,"y":265.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":22,"x":710.2,"y":245.4,"elo":1579,"date":"2024-06-22","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":23,"x":763.3,"y":267.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Joe Pyfer","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":24,"x":778.1,"y":255.5,"elo":1571,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Dustin Stoltzfus","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":25,"x":810,"y":277.6,"elo":1553,"date":"2026-04-11","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 11, 2026 Vicente Luque L -17
Sep 13, 2025 Dustin Stoltzfus W +9
Jun 7, 2025 Joe Pyfer L -17
Jun 22, 2024 Daniel Rodriguez W +16
Dec 2, 2023 Sean Brady L -17
8 post-fight bonuses
  • Fight of the Night ×5
  • Performance of the Night ×3
$400,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Kelvin Gastelum has earned 8. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
36%
5 / 14
Finish rate
KO
3
21% of wins
SUB
2
14% of wins
DEC
9
64% of wins
KO: 3 (21%) 3 Sub: 2 (14%) 2 Dec: 9 (64%) 9
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1269 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 6%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
36%
of losses by finish
4 of 11 · usually R1
0 KO/TKO 4 Sub 7 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1582
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Michael Bisping
Elo 1685 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
13.3
+0.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 26 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1635
Notable wins
Michael Bisping 1685 Jacare Souza 1677 Johny Hendricks 1658 Chris Curtis 1608 Rick Story 1604 Jake Ellenberger 1602
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 47m
Avg fight time
13:21
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
4mo
Title fights
1-1
Bonuses
8
vs Compare Kelvin Gastelum with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1709
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Kamaru Usman
#3 · Elo 1672
Sean Strickland C
#4 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#5 · Elo 1654
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Kelvin Gastelum on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.