HonestElo
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Jimmy Crute

Active #15 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1572 ±30
LCB 1532
Rank
#15
top 30% of division
UFC record
6-4-2
KO 2 · Sub 4 · Dec 0
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +27
Last fight
Sep 27, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Dec 1, 2018 — W vs Paul Craig Δ+34Feb 9, 2019 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+38Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Misha Cirkunov Δ-34Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Δ+33Oct 17, 2020 — W vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ+30Apr 24, 2021 — L vs Anthony Smith Δ-16Dec 4, 2021 — L vs Jamahal Hill Δ-21Feb 11, 2023 — D vs Alonzo Menifield Δ+0Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Alonzo Menifield Δ-18Feb 8, 2025 — D vs Rodolfo Bellato Δ-1Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Marcin Prachnio Δ+14Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Ivan Erslan Δ+13 14941530156716041640 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":178.2,"elo":1534,"date":"2018-12-01","opp":"Paul Craig","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":47.9,"y":123.4,"elo":1572,"date":"2019-02-09","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":2,"x":122.1,"y":172.1,"elo":1538,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Misha Cirkunov","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":177.2,"y":124.4,"elo":1571,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Michal Oleksiejczuk","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":258.5,"y":81.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":323.2,"y":104.6,"elo":1585,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":399.7,"y":135.4,"elo":1563,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Jamahal Hill","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":548.1,"y":135,"elo":1564,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Alonzo Menifield","result":"D","delta":0},{"i":8,"x":598.4,"y":161.3,"elo":1545,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Alonzo Menifield","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":797,"y":162.2,"elo":1545,"date":"2025-02-08","opp":"Rodolfo Bellato","result":"D","delta":-1},{"i":10,"x":852.1,"y":141.5,"elo":1559,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Marcin Prachnio","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":123.3,"elo":1572,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Ivan Erslan","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 27, 2025 Ivan Erslan W +13
Jul 19, 2025 Marcin Prachnio W +14
Feb 8, 2025 Rodolfo Bellato D -1
Jul 8, 2023 Alonzo Menifield L -18
Feb 11, 2023 Alonzo Menifield D 0

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.89 avg 3.69
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.72 avg 3.40
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
40% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.79 avg 0.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
52% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
58% avg 76%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.74 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
6 / 6
Finish rate
KO
2
33% of wins
SUB
4
67% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (33%) 2 Sub: 4 (67%) 4 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
5 83%
R2
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1516
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.3
actual 0 vs expected