HonestElo
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Austen Lane

Active #46 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 198 cm
Elo rating
1405 ±30
LCB 1366
Rank
#46
top 98% of division
UFC record
1-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-3
Δ90d -13 · Δ1y -35
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Sep 9, 2023 — L vs Justin Tafa Δ-33Apr 27, 2024 — L vs Jhonata Diniz Δ-30Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Robelis Despaigne Δ+34Mar 1, 2025 — L vs Mario Pinto Δ-30Jul 12, 2025 — L vs Vitor Petrino Δ-23Mar 21, 2026 — L vs Iwo Baraniewski Δ-13 13651402143814751511 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":88.5,"elo":1467,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Justin Tafa","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":237,"y":132,"elo":1437,"date":"2024-04-27","opp":"Jhonata Diniz","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":398.4,"y":82.2,"elo":1471,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Robelis Despaigne","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":521,"y":126.3,"elo":1441,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Mario Pinto","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":643.6,"y":159.5,"elo":1418,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Vitor Petrino","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":177.8,"elo":1405,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Iwo Baraniewski","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Iwo Baraniewski L -13
Jul 12, 2025 Vitor Petrino L -23
Mar 1, 2025 Mario Pinto L -30
Oct 19, 2024 Robelis Despaigne W +34
Apr 27, 2024 Jhonata Diniz L -30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.64 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.76 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
35% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.20 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
31% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1518
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.5
actual -1 vs expected