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Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Medic

Finishes 100% of wins (8 KO; 75% of wins end in round 1).

Holland

10 career post-fight bonuses — a perennial bonus magnet.

Holland

Reach advantage of ~10".

Tale of the tape

8-3-0 UFC record 16-12-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 6
+4 Streak +1
33 Age 33
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 81" 206 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1609 Global Elo 1594
1558 Elo rating 1539
Uros Medic — Notable ▼
At a glance
Kevin Holland — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 69% of wins by KO or submission
  • 31% of wins finished in round 1
  • 89% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Uros Medic — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 224 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Distance
  • Distance 64%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 24%

Kevin Holland — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1288 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 27%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 12%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.31
4.18
div avg 4.36
58%
50%
div avg 50%
3.53
3.30
div avg 3.18
56%
50%
div avg 56%
0.36
0.83
div avg 1.85
50%
40%
div avg 44%
56%
58%
div avg 70%
0.00
0.63
div avg 0.45
1
2
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Uros Medic
100% finish rate
KO 8 · Sub 0
can finish?
Kevin Holland
finished 42%
5 of 12 losses
Kevin Holland
69% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 6
can finish?
Uros Medic
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Kevin Holland has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1629 vs 1573, 6 quality wins to 3.

Uros Medic red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1573
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Daniel Rodriguez
Elo 1632 at fight time
Expected wins
5.4
+2.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1467
1632
Kevin Holland blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1629
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vicente Luque
Elo 1674 at fight time
Expected wins
13.9
+2.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 29 fights
1588
1625

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    L
    KO/TKO · R1
    Decision - Unanimous
    Aug 1, 2026
    Jul 19, 2025
  • W
    W
    KO/TKO · R1
    Submission · R2
    Apr 27, 2024
    Jun 18, 2022
Corner A recent form
Uros Medic
Corner B recent form
Kevin Holland
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Uros Medic & Kevin Holland on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.