HonestElo
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Omar Morales

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1498 ±37
LCB 1450
Rank
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Mar 18, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Dec 21, 2019 — W vs Dong Hyun Ma Δ+28May 13, 2020 — W vs Gabriel Benitez Δ+30Oct 10, 2020 — L vs Giga Chikadze Δ-27Mar 27, 2021 — W vs Shane Young Δ+26Sep 25, 2021 — L vs Jonathan Pearce Δ-38May 21, 2022 — L vs Uros Medic Δ-19Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Chris Duncan Δ-16 14441482152115601598 2020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":119.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2019-12-21","opp":"Dong Hyun Ma","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":127.7,"y":79,"elo":1558,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Gabriel Benitez","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":235.7,"y":116.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Giga Chikadze","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":356.7,"y":80.4,"elo":1557,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Shane Young","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":487.8,"y":132.2,"elo":1519,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Jonathan Pearce","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":5,"x":659.2,"y":159,"elo":1500,"date":"2022-05-21","opp":"Uros Medic","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":181,"elo":1484,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Chris Duncan","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 18, 2023 Chris Duncan L -16
May 21, 2022 Uros Medic L -19
Sep 25, 2021 Jonathan Pearce L -38
Mar 27, 2021 Shane Young W +26
Oct 10, 2020 Giga Chikadze L -27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.05 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
38% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.03 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.47 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
100% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (100%) 3

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1517
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.6
actual -1 vs expected