HonestElo
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Kyle Daukaus

Active #56 middleweight · Southpaw · 191 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1518 ±38
LCB 1469
Rank
#56
top 69% of division
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +46
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Jun 27, 2020 — L vs Brendan Allen Δ-22Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Dustin Stoltzfus Δ+31May 8, 2021 — L vs Phil Hawes Δ-24Feb 19, 2022 — W vs Jamie Pickett Δ+35Jun 18, 2022 — L vs Roman Dolidze Δ-30Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Eryk Anders Δ-17Aug 23, 2025 — W vs Michel Pereira Δ+26Nov 15, 2025 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+20 14321463149515271559 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":159.3,"elo":1478,"date":"2020-06-27","opp":"Brendan Allen","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":1,"x":87.7,"y":108.2,"elo":1508,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Dustin Stoltzfus","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":160.4,"y":148.9,"elo":1484,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Phil Hawes","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":284.8,"y":90.7,"elo":1519,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Jamie Pickett","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":336.3,"y":140.6,"elo":1489,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":409.1,"y":169.3,"elo":1472,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":839.6,"y":125.9,"elo":1498,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":92.7,"elo":1518,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Gerald Meerschaert W +20
Aug 23, 2025 Michel Pereira W +26
Dec 3, 2022 Eryk Anders L -17
Jun 18, 2022 Roman Dolidze L -30
Feb 19, 2022 Jamie Pickett W +35

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.48 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.71 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
43% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.60 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
24% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
77% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.80 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1543
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.4
actual +1 vs expected