HonestElo
← middleweight

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Active #33 middleweight · Southpaw · 183 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1569 ±35
LCB 1524
Rank
#33
top 40% of division
UFC record
10-7-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+3
Δ90d +13 · Δ1y +49
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Feb 23, 2019 — W vs Gian Villante Δ+36Apr 20, 2019 — W vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Δ+33Sep 28, 2019 — L vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ-32Feb 22, 2020 — L vs Jimmy Crute Δ-33Mar 27, 2021 — W vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ+29Oct 30, 2021 — W vs Shamil Gamzatov Δ+18Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Dustin Jacoby Δ-16Aug 6, 2022 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+16Dec 17, 2022 — W vs Cody Brundage Δ+18Apr 29, 2023 — L vs Caio Borralho Δ-17Aug 26, 2023 — W vs Chidi Njokuani Δ+16Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-14Jun 1, 2024 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-16Aug 3, 2024 — L vs Shara Magomedov Δ-15Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Sedriques Dumas Δ+18Aug 16, 2025 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+19Feb 7, 2026 — W vs Marc-Andre Barriault Δ+13 14641500153615731609 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":130.4,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":42.8,"y":83.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"Gadzhimurad Antigulov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":96.8,"y":129.9,"elo":1537,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":146,"y":177.9,"elo":1504,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Jimmy Crute","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":279.8,"y":136,"elo":1532,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":352.6,"y":109.4,"elo":1551,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Shamil Gamzatov","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":394.8,"y":133.3,"elo":1534,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Dustin Jacoby","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":446.5,"y":110.7,"elo":1550,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":491.1,"y":85,"elo":1567,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Cody Brundage","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":535.7,"y":110.3,"elo":1550,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Caio Borralho","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":575.6,"y":87.5,"elo":1566,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Chidi Njokuani","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":641.3,"y":108.4,"elo":1551,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":12,"x":669.5,"y":132.4,"elo":1535,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":690.6,"y":153.8,"elo":1520,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Shara Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":775.1,"y":127.7,"elo":1538,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Sedriques Dumas","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":15,"x":817.3,"y":100.4,"elo":1557,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":16,"x":876,"y":82.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Marc-Andre Barriault","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Marc-Andre Barriault W +13
Aug 16, 2025 Gerald Meerschaert W +19
Apr 12, 2025 Sedriques Dumas W +18
Aug 3, 2024 Shara Magomedov L -15
Jun 1, 2024 Kevin Holland L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.54 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.54 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.67 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
8 / 10
Finish rate
KO
8
80% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
20% of wins
KO: 8 (80%) 8 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (20%) 2
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
8 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1538
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.5
actual +1 vs expected