HonestElo
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Roman Dolidze

Active #22 middleweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1600 ±38
LCB 1550
Rank
#22
top 26% of division
UFC record
9-5-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-2
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -36
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jul 18, 2020 — W vs Khadis Ibragimov Δ+28Dec 5, 2020 — W vs John Allan Δ+27Mar 20, 2021 — L vs Trevin Giles Δ-29Jun 5, 2021 — W vs Laureano Staropoli Δ+27Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Kyle Daukaus Δ+30Oct 29, 2022 — W vs Phil Hawes Δ+18Dec 3, 2022 — W vs Jack Hermansson Δ+19Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Marvin Vettori Δ-17Feb 3, 2024 — L vs Nassourdine Imavov Δ-17Jun 29, 2024 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+17Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+19Mar 15, 2025 — W vs Marvin Vettori Δ+15Aug 9, 2025 — L vs Anthony Hernandez Δ-18Mar 21, 2026 — L vs Christian Leroy Duncan Δ-17 14851533158016281675 202120222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":188.7,"elo":1528,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Khadis Ibragimov","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":81.6,"y":159.1,"elo":1554,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"John Allan","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":124.7,"y":191.4,"elo":1525,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Trevin Giles","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":156.4,"y":161.5,"elo":1552,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Laureano Staropoli","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":311.8,"y":128.1,"elo":1582,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Kyle Daukaus","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":366.5,"y":108,"elo":1600,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Phil Hawes","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":380.9,"y":86.9,"elo":1619,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":424.1,"y":106.3,"elo":1602,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":556.5,"y":124.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Nassourdine Imavov","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":616.9,"y":105.6,"elo":1602,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":657.2,"y":84.9,"elo":1621,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":723.4,"y":68.6,"elo":1635,"date":"2025-03-15","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":783.9,"y":89.2,"elo":1617,"date":"2025-08-09","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":108.7,"elo":1600,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Christian Leroy Duncan","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Christian Leroy Duncan L -17
Aug 9, 2025 Anthony Hernandez L -18
Mar 15, 2025 Marvin Vettori W +15
Oct 5, 2024 Kevin Holland W +19
Jun 29, 2024 Anthony Smith W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.04 avg 3.86
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.55 avg 3.06
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.11 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
32% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.71 avg 0.47
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
5
56% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 5 (56%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
4 80%
R2
1 20%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1606
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.3
actual +2 vs expected