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Vicente Luque

Active #21 welterweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1635 ±39
LCB 1584
Rank
#21
top 22% of division
UFC record
16-8-0
KO 7 · Sub 6 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -40
Last fight
Oct 11, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Jul 12, 2015 — L vs Michael Graves Δ-29Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Hayder Hassan Δ+32Jul 7, 2016 — W vs Alvaro Herrera Mendoza Δ+36Sep 24, 2016 — W vs Hector Urbina Δ+29Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Belal Muhammad Δ+28Mar 18, 2017 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-18Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Niko Price Δ+18May 19, 2018 — W vs Chad Laprise Δ+17Oct 6, 2018 — W vs Jalin Turner Δ+13Feb 17, 2019 — W vs Bryan Barberena Δ+16May 18, 2019 — W vs Derrick Krantz Δ+11Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+13Nov 2, 2019 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-18May 9, 2020 — W vs Niko Price Δ+14Aug 1, 2020 — W vs Randy Brown Δ+14Mar 27, 2021 — W vs Tyron Woodley Δ+17Aug 7, 2021 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+17Apr 16, 2022 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-19Aug 6, 2022 — L vs Geoff Neal Δ-21Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+16Mar 30, 2024 — L vs Joaquin Buckley Δ-24Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Themba Gorimbo Δ+14Jun 7, 2025 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-23Oct 11, 2025 — L vs Joel Alvarez Δ-17 14311511159016691749 20172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":209.3,"elo":1471,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Michael Graves","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":60.4,"y":188,"elo":1503,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Hayder Hassan","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":106.2,"y":163.9,"elo":1539,"date":"2016-07-07","opp":"Alvaro Herrera Mendoza","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":124.1,"y":144.3,"elo":1568,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Hector Urbina","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":135.3,"y":125.8,"elo":1596,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":164,"y":137.7,"elo":1578,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":214.9,"y":125.8,"elo":1596,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Niko Price","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":261.1,"y":114.3,"elo":1613,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Chad Laprise","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":293,"y":105.9,"elo":1626,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":9,"x":323.5,"y":95.4,"elo":1642,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":344,"y":87.9,"elo":1653,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Derrick Krantz","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":11,"x":363.1,"y":79.2,"elo":1666,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":12,"x":382.2,"y":91.3,"elo":1648,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":425.2,"y":82.3,"elo":1661,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Niko Price","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":444.3,"y":73.1,"elo":1675,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":498.5,"y":61.9,"elo":1692,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":528.7,"y":50.7,"elo":1709,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":586.1,"y":63.2,"elo":1690,"date":"2022-04-16","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":611.6,"y":77.4,"elo":1669,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":19,"x":696,"y":66.9,"elo":1684,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":20,"x":748.6,"y":83.1,"elo":1660,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":21,"x":805.9,"y":73.6,"elo":1674,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Themba Gorimbo","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":847.3,"y":89,"elo":1651,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":100.1,"elo":1635,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Joel Alvarez","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 11, 2025 Joel Alvarez L -17
Jun 7, 2025 Kevin Holland L -23
Dec 7, 2024 Themba Gorimbo W +14
Mar 30, 2024 Joaquin Buckley L -24
Aug 12, 2023 Rafael Dos Anjos W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.24 avg 3.57
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.65 avg 2.77
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.79 avg 1.83
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.57 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
81%
13 / 16
Finish rate
KO
7
44% of wins
SUB
6
38% of wins
DEC
2
13% of wins
KO: 7 (47%) 7 Sub: 6 (40%) 6 Dec: 2 (13%) 2
Finishes by round
14 total
R1
9 64%
R2
3 21%
R3
2 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1607
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
13.7
actual +2 vs expected