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Randy Brown

Active #24 welterweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1625 ±37
LCB 1577
Rank
#24
top 25% of division
UFC record
14-7-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 · Dec 7
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Nov 8, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Jan 30, 2016 — W vs Matt Dwyer Δ+27Apr 16, 2016 — L vs Michael Graves Δ-33Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Erick Montano Δ+37Dec 9, 2016 — W vs Brian Camozzi Δ+30Feb 11, 2017 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-35Nov 4, 2017 — W vs Mickey Gall Δ+19Jul 14, 2018 — L vs Niko Price Δ-17Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Bryan Barberena Δ+20Nov 16, 2019 — W vs Warlley Alves Δ+22Aug 1, 2020 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-14Apr 24, 2021 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+19Oct 9, 2021 — W vs Jared Gooden Δ+12May 7, 2022 — W vs Khaos Williams Δ+17Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ+19Feb 11, 2023 — L vs Jack Della Maddalena Δ-19Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Wellington Turman Δ+11Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Muslim Salikhov Δ+18Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ+16Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Bryan Battle Δ-18Apr 26, 2025 — W vs Nicolas Dalby Δ+16Nov 8, 2025 — L vs Gabriel Bonfim Δ-20 14541512157016291687 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":169.8,"elo":1527,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Matt Dwyer","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":42.4,"y":199.7,"elo":1494,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Michael Graves","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":79.1,"y":165.9,"elo":1531,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Erick Montano","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":98.9,"y":138.5,"elo":1561,"date":"2016-12-09","opp":"Brian Camozzi","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":114.2,"y":170.4,"elo":1526,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":5,"x":177.7,"y":153,"elo":1545,"date":"2017-11-04","opp":"Mickey Gall","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":237.8,"y":168.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Niko Price","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":319.7,"y":150.6,"elo":1548,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":354.8,"y":131,"elo":1569,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":9,"x":416.6,"y":143.4,"elo":1556,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":480.1,"y":126,"elo":1575,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":520.2,"y":115.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Jared Gooden","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":12,"x":570.3,"y":100,"elo":1604,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Khaos Williams","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":605.4,"y":83.2,"elo":1622,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":637.1,"y":101,"elo":1602,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Jack Della Maddalena","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":668.8,"y":91.1,"elo":1613,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Wellington Turman","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":16,"x":722.3,"y":74.9,"elo":1631,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Muslim Salikhov","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":17,"x":750.7,"y":60.3,"elo":1647,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":18,"x":795.8,"y":76.3,"elo":1630,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Bryan Battle","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":829.2,"y":62.3,"elo":1645,"date":"2025-04-26","opp":"Nicolas Dalby","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":80.2,"elo":1625,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Gabriel Bonfim","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 8, 2025 Gabriel Bonfim L -20
Apr 26, 2025 Nicolas Dalby W +16
Dec 7, 2024 Bryan Battle L -18
Jun 1, 2024 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos W +16
Feb 3, 2024 Muslim Salikhov W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.88 avg 3.58
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.88 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.66 avg 1.83
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.48 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
7 / 14
Finish rate
KO
4
29% of wins
SUB
3
21% of wins
DEC
7
50% of wins
KO: 4 (29%) 4 Sub: 3 (21%) 3 Dec: 7 (50%) 7
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
2 29%
R2
3 43%
R3
2 29%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1608
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.6
actual +3 vs expected