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Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke — Honest Elo matchup

welterweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
Nov 14, 2026 · New York City, New York, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Stephen Thompson
#37 12-9-1
Elo 1536
VS
Corner B
Charles Radtke
#44 5-2-0
Elo 1515

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Stephen Thompson 50.0%
Corner B Charles Radtke 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit Main event · heavyweight Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes women's bantamweight Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui middleweight Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland welterweight Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan lightweight Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney lightweight Donte Johnson vs Baisangur Susurkaev middleweight Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita women's bantamweight Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz bantamweight

Notable

Thompson

8 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

12-9-1 UFC record 5-2-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 1
-3 Streak +2
43 Age 36
6'0" 183 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 72" 183 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1586 Global Elo 1551
1536 Elo rating 1515
Stephen Thompson — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2012
Charles Radtke — Notable ▼
At a glance

Stephen Thompson — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1293 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
90% Distance
  • Distance 90%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 4%

Charles Radtke — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 151 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
85% Head
  • Head 85%
  • Body 5%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 25%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.05
2.50
div avg 4.36
46%
54%
div avg 50%
3.00
2.45
div avg 3.18
55%
55%
div avg 56%
0.23
1.99
div avg 1.85
36%
44%
div avg 44%
63%
100%
div avg 70%
0.00
0.50
div avg 0.45
1
8
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Stephen Thompson
50% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Charles Radtke
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Charles Radtke
60% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 1
can finish?
Stephen Thompson
finished 33%
3 of 9 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Stephen Thompson has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1627 vs 1511, 7 quality wins to 0.

Stephen Thompson red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1627
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
7
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Johny Hendricks
Elo 1679 at fight time
Expected wins
11.2
+0.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 22 fights
1500
1604
Notable wins
Johny Hendricks 1679 Vicente Luque 1666 Geoff Neal 1649 Rory MacDonald 1636 Jorge Masvidal 1617
Charles Radtke blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1511
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Matthew Semelsberger
Elo 1531 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+1.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1442
1434
Corner A recent form
Stephen Thompson
Corner B recent form
Charles Radtke
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Stephen Thompson & Charles Radtke on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.