HonestElo
← welterweight

Joaquin Buckley

Active #18 welterweight · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1632 ±33
LCB 1589
Rank
#18
top 19% of division
UFC record
11-5-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Jun 14, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

16 fights · tap & drag
Aug 8, 2020 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-28Oct 10, 2020 — W vs Impa Kasanganay Δ+38Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Jordan Wright Δ+35Jan 16, 2021 — L vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ-38Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Antonio Arroyo Δ+27Feb 19, 2022 — W vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Δ+17Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Albert Duraev Δ+15Sep 3, 2022 — L vs Nassourdine Imavov Δ-16Dec 10, 2022 — L vs Chris Curtis Δ-17May 20, 2023 — W vs Andre Fialho Δ+17Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+19Mar 30, 2024 — W vs Vicente Luque Δ+24May 11, 2024 — W vs Nursulton Ruziboev Δ+15Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Stephen Thompson Δ+19Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Colby Covington Δ+18Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-12 14321495155816211684 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.4,"elo":1472,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":54.3,"y":170.3,"elo":1510,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Impa Kasanganay","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":2,"x":74.5,"y":141.2,"elo":1544,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Jordan Wright","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":101.5,"y":173.5,"elo":1506,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":219.3,"y":150.8,"elo":1533,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Antonio Arroyo","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":293.4,"y":136.6,"elo":1550,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Abdul Razak Alhassan","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":350.7,"y":124.1,"elo":1565,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Albert Duraev","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":387.7,"y":137.2,"elo":1549,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Nassourdine Imavov","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":434.8,"y":151.4,"elo":1532,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":512.3,"y":137.5,"elo":1549,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Andre Fialho","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":579.7,"y":121.9,"elo":1567,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":663.8,"y":101.4,"elo":1592,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":12,"x":684,"y":88.9,"elo":1607,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Nursulton Ruziboev","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":754.8,"y":72.8,"elo":1626,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":788.4,"y":57.6,"elo":1644,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":15,"x":876,"y":67.6,"elo":1632,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 14, 2025 Kamaru Usman L -12
Dec 14, 2024 Colby Covington W +18
Oct 5, 2024 Stephen Thompson W +19
May 11, 2024 Nursulton Ruziboev W +15
Mar 30, 2024 Vicente Luque W +24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.42 avg 3.60
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
37% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.58 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.36 avg 1.81
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
45% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.07 avg 0.46
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
55%
6 / 11
Finish rate
KO
6
55% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
27% of wins
KO: 6 (67%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
R2
5 63%
R3
3 38%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1656
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.6
actual +3 vs expected