← welterweight

Joaquin Buckley "New Mansa"

Active #21 welterweight · age 32 · Southpaw · 5'10" 178 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 76" 193 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 73% of wins by KO/TKO
Elo rating
1579
Global Elo 1618 ±30
Rank
#21
top 27% of division
UFC record
11-6-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
May 9, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 20m
Avg fight time
11:45
Bonuses
9
Fights per year
3.0
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Aug 8, 2020 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-28Oct 10, 2020 — W vs Impa Kasanganay Δ+38Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Jordan Wright Δ+35Jan 16, 2021 — L vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ-38Sep 18, 2021 — W vs Antonio Arroyo Δ+27Feb 19, 2022 — W vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Δ+17Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Albert Duraev Δ+15Sep 3, 2022 — L vs Nassourdine Imavov Δ-16Dec 10, 2022 — L vs Chris Curtis Δ-17May 20, 2023 — W vs Andre Fialho Δ+17Oct 7, 2023 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+19Mar 30, 2024 — W vs Vicente Luque Δ+24May 11, 2024 — W vs Nursulton Ruziboev Δ+15Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Stephen Thompson Δ+19Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Colby Covington Δ+18Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-12May 9, 2026 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-14 140014501500155016001650 202120222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":367.9,"elo":1433,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":111.6,"y":318.9,"elo":1471,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Impa Kasanganay","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":2,"x":126,"y":274.6,"elo":1506,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Jordan Wright","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":145.2,"y":323.9,"elo":1467,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":229.2,"y":289.2,"elo":1494,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Antonio Arroyo","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":282,"y":267.5,"elo":1511,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Abdul Razak Alhassan","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":322.8,"y":248.5,"elo":1526,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Albert Duraev","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":349.2,"y":268.4,"elo":1511,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Nassourdine Imavov","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":382.8,"y":290.1,"elo":1494,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":438,"y":268.9,"elo":1510,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Andre Fialho","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":486,"y":245.1,"elo":1529,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":546,"y":213.9,"elo":1553,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":12,"x":560.4,"y":194.8,"elo":1568,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Nursulton Ruziboev","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":610.8,"y":170.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":634.8,"y":147.1,"elo":1605,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":15,"x":697.2,"y":162.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":180.4,"elo":1579,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2026 Sean Brady L -14
Jun 14, 2025 Kamaru Usman L -12
Dec 14, 2024 Colby Covington W +18
Oct 5, 2024 Stephen Thompson W +19
May 11, 2024 Nursulton Ruziboev W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
55%
6 / 11
Finish rate
KO
6
55% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
27% of wins
KO: 6 (67%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
R2
5 63%
R3
3 38%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 723 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 19%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
3 of 6
3 KO/TKO 0 Sub 3 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1654
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Vicente Luque
Elo 1684 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.0
+3.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1549
1674

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Joaquin Buckley on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.