HonestElo
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Brendan Allen

Active #4 middleweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1686 ±35
LCB 1641
Rank
#4
top 4% of division
UFC record
14-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 7 · Dec 5
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +30
Last fight
Oct 18, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+40Feb 29, 2020 — W vs Tom Breese Δ+39Jun 27, 2020 — W vs Kyle Daukaus Δ+22Nov 14, 2020 — L vs Sean Strickland Δ-31Apr 24, 2021 — W vs Karl Roberson Δ+30Jul 24, 2021 — W vs Punahele Soriano Δ+14Dec 4, 2021 — L vs Chris Curtis Δ-22Feb 5, 2022 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+13Jun 11, 2022 — W vs Jacob Malkoun Δ+13Oct 1, 2022 — W vs Krzysztof Jotko Δ+18Feb 25, 2023 — W vs Andre Muniz Δ+20Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Bruno Silva Δ+15Nov 18, 2023 — W vs Paul Craig Δ+13Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Chris Curtis Δ+13Sep 28, 2024 — L vs Nassourdine Imavov Δ-19Feb 22, 2025 — L vs Anthony Hernandez Δ-19Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Marvin Vettori Δ+12Oct 18, 2025 — W vs Reinier De Ridder Δ+17 15001559161716761735 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":199.9,"elo":1540,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":1,"x":76.1,"y":165.1,"elo":1578,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Tom Breese","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":122.3,"y":144.9,"elo":1601,"date":"2020-06-27","opp":"Kyle Daukaus","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":3,"x":176.8,"y":173.3,"elo":1569,"date":"2020-11-14","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":239.3,"y":146.4,"elo":1599,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":274.7,"y":133.4,"elo":1614,"date":"2021-07-24","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":326.4,"y":153.4,"elo":1591,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":7,"x":350.9,"y":141.3,"elo":1605,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":399.9,"y":130,"elo":1617,"date":"2022-06-11","opp":"Jacob Malkoun","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":9,"x":443.4,"y":113.8,"elo":1635,"date":"2022-10-01","opp":"Krzysztof Jotko","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":500.5,"y":96.2,"elo":1655,"date":"2023-02-25","opp":"Andre Muniz","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":546.8,"y":83.2,"elo":1669,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":603.9,"y":71.4,"elo":1682,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Paul Craig","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":13,"x":658.3,"y":60.1,"elo":1695,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":726.4,"y":77.5,"elo":1675,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Nassourdine Imavov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":783.5,"y":94.4,"elo":1657,"date":"2025-02-22","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":840.6,"y":83.3,"elo":1669,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":67.5,"elo":1686,"date":"2025-10-18","opp":"Reinier De Ridder","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 18, 2025 Reinier De Ridder W +17
Jul 19, 2025 Marvin Vettori W +12
Feb 22, 2025 Anthony Hernandez L -19
Sep 28, 2024 Nassourdine Imavov L -19
Apr 6, 2024 Chris Curtis W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.31 avg 3.86
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.31 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.40 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
55% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.00 avg 0.46
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
64%
9 / 14
Finish rate
KO
2
14% of wins
SUB
7
50% of wins
DEC
5
36% of wins
KO: 2 (14%) 2 Sub: 7 (50%) 7 Dec: 5 (36%) 5
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
4 44%
R2
2 22%
R3
2 22%
R4
1 11%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1614
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.0
actual +4 vs expected