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Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Yanez

Finishes 86% of wins (6 KO; 57% of wins end in round 1).

Yanez

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Diaz

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

7-3-1 UFC record 1-0-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +1
32 Age 28
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'8" 173 cm
70" 178 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1613 Global Elo 1534
1570 Elo rating 1508
Adrian Yanez — Notable ▼
At a glance
Juan Diaz — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 100% of wins by submission

Adrian Yanez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 504 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 7%

Juan Diaz — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 13 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
54% Leg
  • Head 23%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 54%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.92
1.42
div avg 4.16
42%
52%
div avg 50%
5.23
1.64
div avg 3.34
57%
55%
div avg 58%
0.00
8.21
div avg 1.99
0%
63%
div avg 39%
75%
—
div avg 67%
0.00
1.64
div avg 0.45
0
6
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Adrian Yanez
86% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Juan Diaz
finished —
no losses
Juan Diaz
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Adrian Yanez
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Adrian Yanez has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1566 vs 1526, 0 quality wins to 0.

Adrian Yanez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1566
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cody Garbrandt
Elo 1598 at fight time
Expected wins
6.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1500
1598
Juan Diaz blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1526
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Malcolm Wellmaker
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins
0.5
+0.5 above schedule
Corner A recent form
Adrian Yanez
Corner B recent form
Juan Diaz
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Adrian Yanez & Juan Diaz on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.