Adrian Yanez vs Juan Diaz — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1heavyweight MainCiryl GanevsJosh Hokit
- 2women's bantamweightKayla HarrisonvsAmanda Nunes
- 3middleweightCaio BorralhovsYousri Belgaroui
- 4welterweightUros MedicvsKevin Holland
- 5Not linkedflyweightBilal HasanvsLuis Gurule
- 6welterweightStephen ThompsonvsCharles Radtke
- 7lightweightDrew DobervsChris Duncan
- 8lightweightJim MillervsTerrance McKinney
- 9middleweightDonte JohnsonvsBaisangur Susurkaev
- 10women's bantamweightMacy ChiassonvsBia Mesquita
- 12Not linkedlightweightNazim SadykhovvsJefferson Nascimento
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Finishes 86% of wins (6 KO; 57% of wins end in round 1).
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 7-3-1 | UFC record | 1-0-0 |
| KO 6 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 1 |
| +1 | Streak | +1 |
| 32 | Age | 28 |
| 5'7" 170 cm | Height | 5'8" 173 cm |
| 70" 178 cm | Reach | 69" 175 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1613 | Global Elo | 1534 |
| 1570 | Elo rating | 1508 |
Adrian Yanez — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · bantamweightKnockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Adrian Yanez1.41
- 2Montel Jackson1.40
- 3Kai Asakura1.24
- 4Malcolm Wellmaker1.24
- 5Payton Talbott1.18
- 86% of wins by KO/TKO
- 57% of wins finished in round 1
- Top 5 · bantamweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
Juan Diaz — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 100% of wins by submission
Adrian Yanez — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 504 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 13%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 2%
- Ground 7%
Juan Diaz — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 13 landed total · career
- Head 23%
- Body 23%
- Leg 54%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 15%
- Ground 8%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Payton Talbott6.07
- 3Sean O'Malley5.97
- 4Adrian Yanez5.92
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Montel Jackson1.39
- 2Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 3Jafel Filho1.52
- 4Suyoung You1.68
- 5Elijah Smith1.70
- 1David Martinez72%
- 2Suyoung You70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Javid Basharat64%
- 1Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 2Raul Rosas Jr.5.34
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Brady Hiestand4.13
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Elijah Smith75%
- 2Santiago Luna71%
- 3Benardo Sopaj60%
- 4Montel Jackson60%
- 5Rinya Nakamura57%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Xiao Long88%
- 5Caolan Loughran88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 2Rafael Estevam7.79
- 3Rinya Nakamura6.94
- 4Raul Rosas Jr.6.68
- 5Brady Hiestand6.54
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Adrian Yanez has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1566 vs 1526, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Jul 11, 2026
- Mar 28, 2026
- Dec 14, 2024
- May 18, 2024
- Oct 14, 2023
- May 16, 2026