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Anthony Hernandez "Fluffy"

Active #13 middleweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 6'0" 183 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1602
Global Elo 1635 ±26
Rank
#13
top 17% of division
UFC record
9-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 5 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Feb 21, 2026
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 17m
Avg fight time
11:25
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.7
Ground control
1h 12m
Since last fight
4mo

Honest Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Feb 2, 2019 — L vs Markus Perez Δ-35Aug 31, 2019 — W vs Junyong Park Δ+37May 16, 2020 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-30Feb 13, 2021 — W vs Rodolfo Vieira Δ+42Apr 9, 2022 — W vs Josh Fremd Δ+28Sep 17, 2022 — W vs Marc-Andre Barriault Δ+16May 20, 2023 — W vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ+19Feb 17, 2024 — W vs Roman Kopylov Δ+18Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Michel Pereira Δ+22Feb 22, 2025 — W vs Brendan Allen Δ+19Aug 9, 2025 — W vs Roman Dolidze Δ+19Feb 21, 2026 — L vs Sean Strickland Δ-18 140014501500155016001650 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":370.2,"elo":1431,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Markus Perez","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":1,"x":148.7,"y":323.5,"elo":1468,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Junyong Park","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":221.1,"y":362.1,"elo":1437,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":297.4,"y":308.8,"elo":1479,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Rodolfo Vieira","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":4,"x":414.8,"y":273.2,"elo":1507,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Josh Fremd","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":459.8,"y":252.3,"elo":1523,"date":"2022-09-17","opp":"Marc-Andre Barriault","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":528.3,"y":228.1,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":604.6,"y":205.2,"elo":1560,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Roman Kopylov","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":673,"y":176.8,"elo":1582,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":9,"x":708.3,"y":152.7,"elo":1601,"date":"2025-02-22","opp":"Brendan Allen","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":755.2,"y":129.2,"elo":1619,"date":"2025-08-09","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":810,"y":152.1,"elo":1602,"date":"2026-02-21","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 21, 2026 Sean Strickland L -18
Aug 9, 2025 Roman Dolidze W +19
Feb 22, 2025 Brendan Allen W +19
Oct 19, 2024 Michel Pereira W +22
Feb 17, 2024 Roman Kopylov W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
78%
7 / 9
Finish rate
KO
2
22% of wins
SUB
5
56% of wins
DEC
2
22% of wins
KO: 2 (22%) 2 Sub: 5 (56%) 5 Dec: 2 (22%) 2
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
R2
3 43%
R3
2 29%
R4
1 14%
R5
1 14%

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 620 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 12%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
50% Distance
  • Distance 50%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 39%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
3 of 3
2 KO/TKO 1 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1642
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brendan Allen
Elo 1675 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.7
+3.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 12 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1476
1663

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Anthony Hernandez on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.