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Kevin Holland "Trailblazer"

Active #36 welterweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 81" 206 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 18
vs Jacobe Smith · UFC Fight Night Oklahoma
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 69% of wins by KO or submission
  • 31% of wins finished in round 1
  • 89% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1539
Global Elo 1594 ±42
Rank
#36
top 47% of division
UFC record
16-12-0
KO 5 · Sub 6 · Dec 5
Streak
+1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Apr 11, 2026
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 5m
Avg fight time
10:53
Bonuses
10
Fights per year
3.6
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

28 fights · tap & drag
Aug 4, 2018 — L vs Thiago Santos Δ-22Nov 24, 2018 — W vs John Phillips Δ+32Mar 30, 2019 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+34Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ+28Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Brendan Allen Δ-40May 16, 2020 — W vs Anthony Hernandez Δ+17Aug 8, 2020 — W vs Joaquin Buckley Δ+16Sep 19, 2020 — W vs Darren Stewart Δ+14Oct 31, 2020 — W vs Charlie Ontiveros Δ+14Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Jacare Souza Δ+21Mar 20, 2021 — L vs Derek Brunson Δ-14Apr 10, 2021 — L vs Marvin Vettori Δ-17Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+16Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Tim Means Δ+17Sep 10, 2022 — L vs Khamzat Chimaev Δ-16Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-17Apr 8, 2023 — W vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ+20Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+20Sep 16, 2023 — L vs Jack Della Maddalena Δ-15Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Michael Page Δ-21Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Michal Oleksiejczuk Δ+17Oct 5, 2024 — L vs Roman Dolidze Δ-18Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Reinier De Ridder Δ-21Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+19Jun 7, 2025 — W vs Vicente Luque Δ+23Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-15Oct 18, 2025 — L vs Mike Malott Δ-15Apr 11, 2026 — W vs Randy Brown Δ+18 14001450150015501600 2020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":373,"elo":1423,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":1,"x":118.7,"y":321.7,"elo":1455,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"John Phillips","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":151,"y":267.4,"elo":1489,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":172.6,"y":223.1,"elo":1517,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":202.9,"y":287,"elo":1477,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Brendan Allen","result":"L","delta":-40},{"i":5,"x":257,"y":260.1,"elo":1494,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":278.5,"y":234.8,"elo":1510,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":289.3,"y":211.8,"elo":1524,"date":"2020-09-19","opp":"Darren Stewart","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":300.1,"y":188.9,"elo":1538,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"Charlie Ontiveros","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":310.8,"y":155.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":336,"y":178.2,"elo":1545,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Derek Brunson","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":341.4,"y":205.4,"elo":1528,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":425.8,"y":180.1,"elo":1544,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":452.7,"y":152.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":14,"x":474.2,"y":178.3,"elo":1545,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Khamzat Chimaev","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":15,"x":495.8,"y":206,"elo":1528,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":528.1,"y":173.4,"elo":1548,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":17,"x":556.8,"y":142,"elo":1568,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":18,"x":569.4,"y":165.2,"elo":1553,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Jack Della Maddalena","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":19,"x":614.3,"y":198.5,"elo":1532,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Michael Page","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":20,"x":635.8,"y":172.2,"elo":1549,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Michal Oleksiejczuk","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":21,"x":668.2,"y":201.7,"elo":1530,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":22,"x":695.1,"y":235,"elo":1509,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Reinier De Ridder","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":23,"x":711.2,"y":205,"elo":1528,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":24,"x":731,"y":168.1,"elo":1551,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":25,"x":741.8,"y":193,"elo":1536,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":26,"x":765.1,"y":217.4,"elo":1520,"date":"2025-10-18","opp":"Mike Malott","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":27,"x":810,"y":188.1,"elo":1539,"date":"2026-04-11","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 11, 2026 Randy Brown W +18
Oct 18, 2025 Mike Malott L -15
Jul 19, 2025 Daniel Rodriguez L -15
Jun 7, 2025 Vicente Luque W +23
Mar 22, 2025 Gunnar Nelson W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
69%
11 / 16
Finish rate
KO
5
31% of wins
SUB
6
38% of wins
DEC
5
31% of wins
KO: 5 (31%) 5 Sub: 6 (38%) 6 Dec: 5 (31%) 5
Finishes by round
11 total
R1
5 45%
R2
3 27%
R3
3 27%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1285 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 27%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
42%
of losses by finish
5 of 12 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 3 Sub 7 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1629
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Vicente Luque
Elo 1674 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
13.9
+2.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 28 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1588
1625
Notable wins
Vicente Luque 1674 Jacare Souza 1641 Michael Chiesa 1626 Randy Brown 1625 Gunnar Nelson 1622 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1621

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Kevin Holland on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.