← Back to event card

Donte Johnson vs Baisangur Susurkaev — Honest Elo matchup

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Susurkaev

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 3-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 2
+3 Streak +3
27 Age 25
5'8" 173 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 79" 201 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1584 Global Elo 1591
1558 Elo rating 1565
Donte Johnson — Notable ▼
At a glance
Baisangur Susurkaev — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
  • 3 finishes in a row
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Donte Johnson — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 66 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 8%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 20%

Baisangur Susurkaev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 196 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 32%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 10%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.86
5.97
div avg 4.55
43%
54%
div avg 52%
1.82
4.66
div avg 3.30
63%
59%
div avg 54%
1.95
2.28
div avg 1.53
100%
26%
div avg 44%
77%
100%
div avg 75%
0.65
0.91
div avg 0.46
4
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Donte Johnson
67% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Baisangur Susurkaev
finished —
no losses
Baisangur Susurkaev
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Donte Johnson
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1489 (Donte Johnson) vs 1501 (Baisangur Susurkaev).

Donte Johnson red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1489
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Eric Mcconico
Elo 1506 at fight time
Expected wins
1.7
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1493
1506
Baisangur Susurkaev blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1501
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Eric Mcconico
Elo 1502 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1500
1502

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    W
    KO/TKO · R1
    KO/TKO · R3
    Aug 15, 2026
    Nov 15, 2025
Corner A recent form
Donte Johnson
Corner B recent form
Baisangur Susurkaev
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Donte Johnson & Baisangur Susurkaev on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.