HonestElo
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Thiago Santos

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1573 ±33
LCB 1531
Rank
—
—
UFC record
14-10-0
KO 11 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Aug 6, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Aug 3, 2013 — L vs Cezar Ferreira Δ-30Mar 23, 2014 — W vs Ronny Markes Δ+41Jul 5, 2014 — L vs Uriah Hall Δ-31Jan 31, 2015 — W vs Andy Enz Δ+30Jun 27, 2015 — W vs Steve Bosse Δ+32Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Elias Theodorou Δ+18May 14, 2016 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+20Jul 9, 2016 — L vs Gegard Mousasi Δ-18Sep 24, 2016 — L vs Eric Spicely Δ-23Feb 19, 2017 — W vs Jack Marshman Δ+19Jul 8, 2017 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+19Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Jack Hermansson Δ+18Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+17Apr 21, 2018 — L vs David Branch Δ-22Aug 4, 2018 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+12Sep 22, 2018 — W vs Eryk Anders Δ+17Dec 8, 2018 — W vs Jimi Manuwa Δ+16Feb 23, 2019 — W vs Jan Blachowicz Δ+14Jul 6, 2019 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-10Nov 7, 2020 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-15Mar 6, 2021 — L vs Aleksandar Rakic Δ-17Oct 2, 2021 — W vs Johnny Walker Δ+14Mar 12, 2022 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-15Aug 6, 2022 — L vs Jamahal Hill Δ-19 14301494155916231687 2015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.9,"elo":1470,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":84.1,"y":169.2,"elo":1511,"date":"2014-03-23","opp":"Ronny Markes","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":2,"x":111,"y":195.3,"elo":1480,"date":"2014-07-05","opp":"Uriah Hall","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":165.4,"y":170.3,"elo":1510,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Andy Enz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":203.5,"y":143.7,"elo":1542,"date":"2015-06-27","opp":"Steve Bosse","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":246.5,"y":128.6,"elo":1560,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":286.9,"y":112.2,"elo":1580,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":7,"x":301.4,"y":127.5,"elo":1562,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":321.3,"y":146.6,"elo":1539,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Eric Spicely","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":9,"x":359.6,"y":131.3,"elo":1557,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Jack Marshman","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":395.6,"y":115.7,"elo":1576,"date":"2017-07-08","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":424.6,"y":101.2,"elo":1593,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":450,"y":87.3,"elo":1610,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":469.9,"y":105.8,"elo":1588,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"David Branch","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":14,"x":497.1,"y":95.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":15,"x":509.8,"y":82.1,"elo":1617,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":529.8,"y":68.9,"elo":1633,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Jimi Manuwa","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":549.7,"y":57.1,"elo":1647,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":18,"x":584.1,"y":65.2,"elo":1637,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":19,"x":711,"y":77.6,"elo":1622,"date":"2020-11-07","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":20,"x":741.9,"y":91.5,"elo":1605,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Aleksandar Rakic","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":21,"x":796.2,"y":79.8,"elo":1619,"date":"2021-10-02","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":837.9,"y":92.4,"elo":1604,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":107.7,"elo":1586,"date":"2022-08-06","opp":"Jamahal Hill","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 6, 2022 Jamahal Hill L -19
Mar 12, 2022 Magomed Ankalaev L -15
Oct 2, 2021 Johnny Walker W +14
Mar 6, 2021 Aleksandar Rakic L -17
Nov 7, 2020 Glover Teixeira L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.12 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.15 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.74 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
66% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.05 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
79%
11 / 14
Finish rate
KO
11
79% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
21% of wins
KO: 11 (79%) 11 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (21%) 3
Finishes by round
11 total
R1
5 45%
R2
4 36%
R3
2 18%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1621
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
12.2
actual +2 vs expected