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Tim Means

Active #71 welterweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1507 ±36
LCB 1460
Rank
#71
top 77% of division
UFC record
15-14-0
KO 6 · Sub 2 · Dec 7
Streak
-2
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Oct 5, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

29 fights · tap & drag
Feb 15, 2012 — W vs Bernardo Magalhaes Δ+29Jun 8, 2012 — W vs Justin Salas Δ+33Apr 20, 2013 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-34Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Danny Castillo Δ-24May 10, 2014 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-29Jul 26, 2014 — W vs Hernani Perpetuo Δ+16Dec 20, 2014 — W vs Marcio Alexandre Junior Δ+15Feb 28, 2015 — W vs Dhiego Lima Δ+18Apr 18, 2015 — W vs George Sullivan Δ+21Jul 11, 2015 — L vs Matt Brown Δ-15Dec 10, 2015 — W vs John Howard Δ+19Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Sabah Homasi Δ+16Mar 11, 2017 — L vs Alex Oliveira Δ-18Jun 25, 2017 — W vs Alex Garcia Δ+16Nov 18, 2017 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-17Feb 3, 2018 — L vs Sergio Moraes Δ-13Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Ricky Rainey Δ+15Mar 9, 2019 — L vs Niko Price Δ-17Dec 7, 2019 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+20Feb 15, 2020 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-21Aug 8, 2020 — W vs Laureano Staropoli Δ+16Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+17Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Nicolas Dalby Δ+15Jun 18, 2022 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-17Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Max Griffin Δ-18May 13, 2023 — L vs Alex Morono Δ-16Sep 23, 2023 — W vs Andre Fialho Δ+16Apr 27, 2024 — L vs Uros Medic Δ-19Oct 5, 2024 — L vs Court McGee Δ-21 14351480152615711617 201420162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":126.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Bernardo Magalhaes","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":45,"y":88.1,"elo":1562,"date":"2012-06-08","opp":"Justin Salas","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":103.4,"y":127.6,"elo":1528,"date":"2013-04-20","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":3,"x":121.5,"y":155.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Danny Castillo","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":4,"x":174.4,"y":189.4,"elo":1475,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":188.6,"y":170.9,"elo":1491,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Hernani Perpetuo","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":215.8,"y":154,"elo":1505,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Marcio Alexandre Junior","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":228.7,"y":133.4,"elo":1523,"date":"2015-02-28","opp":"Dhiego Lima","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":237.7,"y":109.4,"elo":1544,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"George Sullivan","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":253.2,"y":126.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":281.3,"y":105.2,"elo":1547,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"John Howard","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":328.2,"y":86.7,"elo":1563,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Sabah Homasi","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":365.6,"y":107.1,"elo":1546,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":385.2,"y":88.1,"elo":1562,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Alex Garcia","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":412.2,"y":107.4,"elo":1545,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":426.4,"y":123.1,"elo":1532,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Sergio Moraes","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":16,"x":481.7,"y":105.8,"elo":1547,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Ricky Rainey","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":17,"x":500,"y":125.3,"elo":1530,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Niko Price","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":550.4,"y":101.9,"elo":1550,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":19,"x":563.3,"y":126.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":20,"x":595.6,"y":107.8,"elo":1545,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Laureano Staropoli","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":21,"x":615,"y":87.5,"elo":1562,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":22,"x":655.1,"y":70.6,"elo":1577,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Nicolas Dalby","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":23,"x":721,"y":90.6,"elo":1560,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":24,"x":745.5,"y":111.1,"elo":1542,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":25,"x":781.7,"y":129.5,"elo":1526,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":26,"x":806.2,"y":111,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Andre Fialho","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":27,"x":846.3,"y":133.1,"elo":1523,"date":"2024-04-27","opp":"Uros Medic","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":28,"x":876,"y":157.4,"elo":1502,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Court McGee","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 5, 2024 Court McGee L -21
Apr 27, 2024 Uros Medic L -19
Sep 23, 2023 Andre Fialho W +16
May 13, 2023 Alex Morono L -16
Oct 29, 2022 Max Griffin L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.43 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.23 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.97 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.14 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
53%
8 / 15
Finish rate
KO
6
40% of wins
SUB
2
13% of wins
DEC
7
47% of wins
KO: 6 (40%) 6 Sub: 2 (13%) 2 Dec: 7 (47%) 7
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
2 25%
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
14.6
actual 0 vs expected