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Michael Chandler "Iron"

Active #64 lightweight · age 40 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1454
Global Elo 1498 ±33
Rank
#64
top 72% of division
UFC record
2-6-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
Jun 14, 2026
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 23m
Avg fight time
10:20
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
6
Fights per year
1.5
Since last fight
6d

Honest Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Dan Hooker Δ+44May 15, 2021 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-24Nov 6, 2021 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-20May 7, 2022 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+49Nov 12, 2022 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-18Nov 16, 2024 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-8Apr 12, 2025 — L vs Paddy Pimblett Δ-11Jun 14, 2026 — L vs Mauricio Ruffy Δ-14 1420144014601480150015201540 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":194.8,"elo":1501,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"W","delta":44},{"i":1,"x":131,"y":259.1,"elo":1477,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":2,"x":195,"y":313.7,"elo":1456,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":3,"x":261.6,"y":182.3,"elo":1505,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":49},{"i":4,"x":330.7,"y":230.8,"elo":1487,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":5,"x":599.6,"y":252.1,"elo":1479,"date":"2024-11-16","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-8},{"i":6,"x":653.4,"y":282,"elo":1468,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Paddy Pimblett","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":7,"x":810,"y":319.3,"elo":1454,"date":"2026-06-14","opp":"Mauricio Ruffy","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 14, 2026 Mauricio Ruffy L -14
Apr 12, 2025 Paddy Pimblett L -11
Nov 16, 2024 Charles Oliveira L -8
Nov 12, 2022 Dustin Poirier L -18
May 7, 2022 Tony Ferguson W +49

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 318 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 24%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
4 of 6 · usually R3
3 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1677
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Tony Ferguson
Elo 1685 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.4
−0.4 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 8 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1620
1597
Notable wins
Tony Ferguson 1685 Dan Hooker 1620

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Michael Chandler on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.