HonestElo
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Kyle Prepolec

Active #99 lightweight · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1405 ±20
LCB 1379
Rank
#99
top 98% of division
UFC record
0-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -42
Last fight
Oct 18, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
May 4, 2019 — L vs Nordine Taleb Δ-24Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Austin Hubbard Δ-29May 10, 2025 — L vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ-20Oct 18, 2025 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-22 13651403144114781516 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":80.3,"elo":1476,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Nordine Taleb","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":1,"x":72,"y":120.5,"elo":1447,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Austin Hubbard","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":817.9,"y":148.5,"elo":1428,"date":"2025-05-10","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":179.7,"elo":1405,"date":"2025-10-18","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 18, 2025 Drew Dober L -22
May 10, 2025 Benoit Saint Denis L -20
Sep 14, 2019 Austin Hubbard L -29
May 4, 2019 Nordine Taleb L -24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.89 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
34% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.05 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
45% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1545
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.6
actual -2 vs expected