HonestElo
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John Makdessi

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1532 ±39
LCB 1481
Rank
UFC record
11-9-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 8
Streak
-2
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Sep 9, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Dec 11, 2010 — W vs Pat Audinwood Δ+26Apr 30, 2011 — W vs Kyle Watson Δ+33Dec 10, 2011 — L vs Dennis Hallman Δ-43Apr 21, 2012 — L vs Anthony Njokuani Δ-32Nov 17, 2012 — W vs Sam Stout Δ+33Mar 16, 2013 — W vs Daron Cruickshank Δ+18Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Renee Forte Δ+17Feb 1, 2014 — L vs Alan Patrick Δ-17Apr 25, 2015 — W vs Shane Campbell Δ+17May 23, 2015 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-11Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Yancy Medeiros Δ-17Jul 7, 2016 — W vs Mehdi Baghdad Δ+14Dec 10, 2016 — L vs Lando Vannata Δ-21Dec 16, 2017 — W vs Abel Trujillo Δ+18Jul 28, 2018 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+16Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Jesus Pinedo Δ+15Mar 14, 2020 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-13Apr 10, 2021 — W vs Ignacio Bahamondes Δ+14Sep 3, 2022 — L vs Nasrat Haqparast Δ-18Sep 9, 2023 — L vs Jamie Mullarkey Δ-18 14451485152515651605 2013201620192022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":128.3,"elo":1526,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Pat Audinwood","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":49.6,"y":84.1,"elo":1560,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Kyle Watson","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":90.6,"y":140.6,"elo":1517,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Dennis Hallman","result":"L","delta":-43},{"i":3,"x":115,"y":183.1,"elo":1485,"date":"2012-04-21","opp":"Anthony Njokuani","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":153.4,"y":140.1,"elo":1517,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Sam Stout","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":175.2,"y":116.4,"elo":1535,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Daron Cruickshank","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":209.8,"y":94.5,"elo":1552,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Renee Forte","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":234.1,"y":116.9,"elo":1535,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Alan Patrick","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":316.1,"y":94.9,"elo":1551,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Shane Campbell","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":321.2,"y":109,"elo":1541,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":10,"x":358.4,"y":132.1,"elo":1523,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Yancy Medeiros","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":396.5,"y":113.9,"elo":1537,"date":"2016-07-07","opp":"Mehdi Baghdad","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":425,"y":142,"elo":1516,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Lando Vannata","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":13,"x":492.9,"y":118.4,"elo":1534,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Abel Trujillo","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":533.9,"y":97.4,"elo":1550,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":577.5,"y":77.6,"elo":1565,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Jesus Pinedo","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":642.8,"y":95.1,"elo":1551,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":17,"x":714.6,"y":76.9,"elo":1565,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Ignacio Bahamondes","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":18,"x":808.1,"y":100.5,"elo":1547,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Nasrat Haqparast","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":124,"elo":1529,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Jamie Mullarkey","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 9, 2023 Jamie Mullarkey L -18
Sep 3, 2022 Nasrat Haqparast L -18
Apr 10, 2021 Ignacio Bahamondes W +14
Mar 14, 2020 Francisco Trinaldo L -13
Mar 23, 2019 Jesus Pinedo W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.25 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.95 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
68% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
27%
3 / 11
Finish rate
KO
3
27% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
8
73% of wins
KO: 3 (27%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 8 (73%) 8
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1538
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.3
actual +1 vs expected