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← welterweight

Leon Edwards "Rocky"

Active #11 welterweight · age 34 · Southpaw · 6'2" 188 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Elo rating
1620
Global Elo 1682 ±48
Rank
#11
top 14% of division
UFC record
14-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 10
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -22
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 30m
Avg fight time
17:23
Title fights
3-1
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
1.7
Ground control
1h 10m
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Nov 8, 2014 — L vs Claudio Silva Δ-26Apr 11, 2015 — W vs Seth Baczynski Δ+39Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Pawel Pawlak Δ+27Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-29May 8, 2016 — W vs Dominic Waters Δ+24Oct 8, 2016 — W vs Albert Tumenov Δ+21Mar 18, 2017 — W vs Vicente Luque Δ+18Sep 2, 2017 — W vs Bryan Barberena Δ+16Mar 17, 2018 — W vs Peter Sobotta Δ+15Jun 23, 2018 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+20Mar 16, 2019 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+16Jul 20, 2019 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+18Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Nate Diaz Δ+15Aug 20, 2022 — W vs Kamaru Usman Δ+32Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Kamaru Usman Δ+24Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Colby Covington Δ+18Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-22Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-21Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Carlos Prates Δ-22 13501450155016501750 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":360.7,"elo":1412,"date":"2014-11-08","opp":"Claudio Silva","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":117.5,"y":329.2,"elo":1451,"date":"2015-04-11","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":135.1,"y":307.4,"elo":1478,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Pawel Pawlak","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":162.6,"y":330.4,"elo":1450,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":187.8,"y":311,"elo":1474,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Dominic Waters","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":215.2,"y":293.8,"elo":1495,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Albert Tumenov","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":244,"y":279.6,"elo":1513,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":274.1,"y":266.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":309.1,"y":255.2,"elo":1544,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Peter Sobotta","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":326.7,"y":239.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2018-06-23","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":10,"x":374.2,"y":226.7,"elo":1579,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":396.8,"y":212.6,"elo":1597,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":520.7,"y":200.8,"elo":1612,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":598.4,"y":175.5,"elo":1643,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":14,"x":635.9,"y":156.2,"elo":1667,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":15,"x":684.8,"y":142.1,"elo":1685,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":16,"x":724.9,"y":160,"elo":1663,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":17,"x":767.4,"y":176.9,"elo":1641,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":18,"x":810,"y":194.4,"elo":1620,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Carlos Prates","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Carlos Prates L -22
Mar 22, 2025 Sean Brady L -21
Jul 27, 2024 Belal Muhammad L -22
Dec 16, 2023 Colby Covington W +18
Mar 18, 2023 Kamaru Usman W +24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
4 / 14
Finish rate
KO
3
21% of wins
SUB
1
7% of wins
DEC
10
71% of wins
KO: 3 (21%) 3 Sub: 1 (7%) Dec: 10 (71%) 10
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
R3
2 50%
R4
R5
1 25%

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 854 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
40%
of losses by finish
2 of 5
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1696
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
7
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Kamaru Usman
Elo 1810 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.3
+4.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 19 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1529
1636
Notable wins
Kamaru Usman ×2 1810 Colby Covington 1688 Donald Cerrone 1685 Rafael Dos Anjos 1676 Nate Diaz 1634 Gunnar Nelson 1625

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Leon Edwards on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.