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Leon Edwards

Active #10 welterweight · Southpaw · 188 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1682 ±44
LCB 1624
Rank
#10
top 10% of division
UFC record
14-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 10
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -22
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Nov 8, 2014 — L vs Claudio Silva Δ-26Apr 11, 2015 — W vs Seth Baczynski Δ+39Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Pawel Pawlak Δ+27Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-29May 8, 2016 — W vs Dominic Waters Δ+24Oct 8, 2016 — W vs Albert Tumenov Δ+21Mar 18, 2017 — W vs Vicente Luque Δ+18Sep 2, 2017 — W vs Bryan Barberena Δ+16Mar 17, 2018 — W vs Peter Sobotta Δ+15Jun 23, 2018 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+20Mar 16, 2019 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+16Jul 20, 2019 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+18Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Nate Diaz Δ+15Aug 20, 2022 — W vs Kamaru Usman Δ+32Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Kamaru Usman Δ+24Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Colby Covington Δ+18Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-22Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-21Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Carlos Prates Δ-22 14341522161016991787 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":212,"elo":1474,"date":"2014-11-08","opp":"Claudio Silva","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":56.6,"y":188.4,"elo":1513,"date":"2015-04-11","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":77.3,"y":172,"elo":1540,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Pawel Pawlak","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":109.9,"y":189.3,"elo":1512,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":139.8,"y":174.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Dominic Waters","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":172.2,"y":161.8,"elo":1557,"date":"2016-10-08","opp":"Albert Tumenov","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":206.3,"y":151.2,"elo":1575,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":241.8,"y":141.6,"elo":1591,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":283.3,"y":132.9,"elo":1606,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Peter Sobotta","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":304,"y":121.1,"elo":1625,"date":"2018-06-23","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":10,"x":360.4,"y":111.5,"elo":1641,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":387,"y":100.9,"elo":1659,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":533.7,"y":92,"elo":1674,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":625.6,"y":73.1,"elo":1705,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":14,"x":670,"y":58.6,"elo":1729,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":15,"x":727.8,"y":48,"elo":1747,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":16,"x":775.2,"y":61.4,"elo":1725,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":17,"x":825.6,"y":74.1,"elo":1703,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":87.2,"elo":1682,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Carlos Prates","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Carlos Prates L -22
Mar 22, 2025 Sean Brady L -21
Jul 27, 2024 Belal Muhammad L -22
Dec 16, 2023 Colby Covington W +18
Mar 18, 2023 Kamaru Usman W +24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.48 avg 3.63
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.35 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.22 avg 1.81
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.35 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
4 / 14
Finish rate
KO
3
21% of wins
SUB
1
7% of wins
DEC
10
71% of wins
KO: 3 (21%) 3 Sub: 1 (7%) Dec: 10 (71%) 10
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
R3
2 50%
R4
R5
1 25%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1696
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.3
actual +5 vs expected