HonestElo
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Vagner Rocha

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1472 ±34
LCB 1427
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +23 · Δ1y +23
Last fight
Nov 7, 2014
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jun 11, 2011 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-26Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Cody McKenzie Δ+36Feb 15, 2012 — L vs Jonathan Brookins Δ-33Nov 7, 2014 — L vs Jake Matthews Δ-28 14091444148015151550 201220132014 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":137.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":91.1,"y":84.1,"elo":1510,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Cody McKenzie","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":194.4,"y":134.2,"elo":1477,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Jonathan Brookins","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":175.9,"elo":1449,"date":"2014-11-07","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"L","delta":-28}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 7, 2014 Jake Matthews L -28
Feb 15, 2012 Jonathan Brookins L -33
Sep 17, 2011 Cody McKenzie W +36
Jun 11, 2011 Donald Cerrone L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.13 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.63 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.13 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.50 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (100%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1520
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.8
actual -1 vs expected