HonestElo
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Niko Price

Active #78 welterweight · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1493 ±36
LCB 1446
Rank
#78
top 85% of division
UFC record
8-11-0
KO 4 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-4
Δ90d -33 · Δ1y -53
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
L by Submission

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Dec 30, 2016 — W vs Brandon Thatch Δ+31Aug 5, 2017 — W vs Alan Jouban Δ+36Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-32Jan 27, 2018 — W vs George Sullivan Δ+31Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Randy Brown Δ+31Sep 8, 2018 — L vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Δ-20Mar 9, 2019 — W vs Tim Means Δ+17Jul 27, 2019 — L vs Geoff Neal Δ-19Oct 12, 2019 — W vs James Vick Δ+20May 9, 2020 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-14Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-17Oct 2, 2021 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+15Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Phil Rowe Δ-21Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-17Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+19Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Themba Gorimbo Δ-16Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Jacobe Smith Δ-19Feb 7, 2026 — L vs Nikolay Veretennikov Δ-22Mar 28, 2026 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-11 14531499154515911638 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":146.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Brandon Thatch","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":79,"y":104.5,"elo":1568,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Alan Jouban","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":100.2,"y":141.3,"elo":1535,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":123.2,"y":105.5,"elo":1567,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"George Sullivan","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":165.6,"y":69.9,"elo":1598,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":179.8,"y":93.3,"elo":1577,"date":"2018-09-08","opp":"Abdul Razak Alhassan","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":225.7,"y":74.1,"elo":1594,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":261,"y":95.7,"elo":1575,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":280.5,"y":72.3,"elo":1596,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"James Vick","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":333.5,"y":87.9,"elo":1582,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":10,"x":441.3,"y":107.1,"elo":1565,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":462.5,"y":89.6,"elo":1581,"date":"2021-10-02","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":570.3,"y":113.2,"elo":1560,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Phil Rowe","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":13,"x":625.1,"y":132.2,"elo":1543,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":14,"x":708.1,"y":110.9,"elo":1562,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":741.7,"y":129.8,"elo":1545,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Themba Gorimbo","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":16,"x":807.1,"y":151.7,"elo":1526,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Jacobe Smith","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":17,"x":863.6,"y":177.4,"elo":1504,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Nikolay Veretennikov","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":190.1,"elo":1493,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Michael Chiesa L -11
Feb 7, 2026 Nikolay Veretennikov L -22
Jun 28, 2025 Jacobe Smith L -19
Oct 12, 2024 Themba Gorimbo L -16
Jun 1, 2024 Alex Morono W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.87 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.39 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.00 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
32% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
43% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.58 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
4
50% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
4 67%
R2
2 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1557
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.4
actual -1 vs expected