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Rick Story "The Horror"

Inactive · age 41 · Southpaw · 5'9" 175 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
  • UFC veteran since 2009
Elo rating
1559
Global Elo 1601 ±32
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 8
Streak
-1
Δ90d -13 · Δ1y -13
Last fight
Aug 20, 2016
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 57m
Avg fight time
12:29
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.6
Ground control
1h 15m
Since last fight
9y 10mo

Honest Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Jun 13, 2009 — L vs John Hathaway Δ-26Sep 19, 2009 — W vs Brian Foster Δ+36Jan 11, 2010 — W vs Jesse Lennox Δ+30Apr 10, 2010 — W vs Nick Osipczak Δ+31Aug 7, 2010 — W vs Dustin Hazelett Δ+31Dec 4, 2010 — W vs Johny Hendricks Δ+17May 28, 2011 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+16Jun 26, 2011 — L vs Charlie Brenneman Δ-21Nov 19, 2011 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-18Jun 22, 2012 — W vs Brock Jardine Δ+12Oct 13, 2012 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-17Mar 16, 2013 — W vs Quinn Mulhern Δ+14May 25, 2013 — L vs Mike Pyle Δ-17Nov 16, 2013 — W vs Brian Ebersole Δ+16Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-18Jul 16, 2014 — W vs Leonardo Mafra Δ+12Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+17May 29, 2016 — W vs Tarec Saffiedine Δ+13Aug 20, 2016 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-14 1350140014501500155016001650 201120132015 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":336.7,"elo":1419,"date":"2009-06-13","opp":"John Hathaway","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":116.9,"y":298.7,"elo":1454,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Brian Foster","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":148.1,"y":266.3,"elo":1485,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Jesse Lennox","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":172.6,"y":232.8,"elo":1516,"date":"2010-04-10","opp":"Nick Osipczak","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":205.2,"y":199.5,"elo":1547,"date":"2010-08-07","opp":"Dustin Hazelett","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":237.8,"y":181.8,"elo":1564,"date":"2010-12-04","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":285.8,"y":164.5,"elo":1580,"date":"2011-05-28","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":293.8,"y":186.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Charlie Brenneman","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":8,"x":333.8,"y":205.7,"elo":1542,"date":"2011-11-19","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":393.1,"y":193.3,"elo":1553,"date":"2012-06-22","opp":"Brock Jardine","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":10,"x":424.1,"y":211.2,"elo":1536,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":466.3,"y":196.6,"elo":1550,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Quinn Mulhern","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":485.5,"y":214.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Mike Pyle","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":533.5,"y":197.9,"elo":1549,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Brian Ebersole","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":566.2,"y":216.6,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":599.9,"y":203.5,"elo":1544,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Leonardo Mafra","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":16,"x":621.8,"y":185.7,"elo":1560,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":787.2,"y":171.9,"elo":1573,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Tarec Saffiedine","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":18,"x":810,"y":186.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 20, 2016 Donald Cerrone L -14
May 29, 2016 Tarec Saffiedine W +13
Oct 4, 2014 Gunnar Nelson W +17
Jul 16, 2014 Leonardo Mafra W +12
Mar 15, 2014 Kelvin Gastelum L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
4 / 12
Finish rate
KO
2
17% of wins
SUB
2
17% of wins
DEC
8
67% of wins
KO: 2 (17%) 2 Sub: 2 (17%) 2 Dec: 8 (67%) 8
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
3 75%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 901 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 35%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 17%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
29%
of losses by finish
2 of 7
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 5 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1583
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Thiago Alves
Elo 1624 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.0
+2.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 19 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1533
1715
Notable wins
Thiago Alves 1624 Johny Hendricks 1617 Gunnar Nelson 1616

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Rick Story on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.