HonestElo
← welterweight

Jorge Masvidal

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1588 ±34
LCB 1545
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-10-0
KO 5 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
-4
Δ90d -9 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Apr 8, 2023
L by Decision

Elo history

22 fights · tap & drag
Apr 20, 2013 — W vs Tim Means Δ+34Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+37Nov 6, 2013 — L vs Rustam Khabilov Δ-30Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Pat Healy Δ+20Jul 26, 2014 — W vs Daron Cruickshank Δ+28Sep 27, 2014 — W vs James Krause Δ+14Apr 4, 2015 — L vs Al Iaquinta Δ-17Jul 12, 2015 — W vs Cezar Ferreira Δ+17Nov 28, 2015 — L vs Benson Henderson Δ-12May 29, 2016 — L vs Lorenz Larkin Δ-21Jul 30, 2016 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+16Dec 3, 2016 — W vs Jake Ellenberger Δ+19Jan 28, 2017 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+25May 13, 2017 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-12Nov 4, 2017 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-15Mar 16, 2019 — W vs Darren Till Δ+20Jul 6, 2019 — W vs Ben Askren Δ+15Nov 2, 2019 — W vs Nate Diaz Δ+17Jul 11, 2020 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-14Apr 24, 2021 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-14Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Colby Covington Δ-14Apr 8, 2023 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-13 14941544159316431692 20152017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":193.3,"elo":1534,"date":"2013-04-20","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":1,"x":46.9,"y":154.1,"elo":1571,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":70.8,"y":186,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"Rustam Khabilov","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":109.2,"y":164.6,"elo":1561,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Pat Healy","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":4,"x":132.1,"y":134.5,"elo":1589,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Daron Cruickshank","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":146.9,"y":119.8,"elo":1603,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"James Krause","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":191.1,"y":138.5,"elo":1585,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":214.3,"y":120.5,"elo":1602,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":246.8,"y":133.7,"elo":1590,"date":"2015-11-28","opp":"Benson Henderson","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":9,"x":289.7,"y":156.2,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-05-29","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":10,"x":304.2,"y":139.1,"elo":1585,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":333.7,"y":119.3,"elo":1603,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":346.8,"y":92.3,"elo":1628,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":13,"x":371.4,"y":105.1,"elo":1616,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":14,"x":412.3,"y":121,"elo":1602,"date":"2017-11-04","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":15,"x":528.6,"y":100.1,"elo":1621,"date":"2019-03-16","opp":"Darren Till","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":16,"x":554.9,"y":84.5,"elo":1636,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Ben Askren","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":17,"x":582.7,"y":66.7,"elo":1652,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":18,"x":641.7,"y":82.2,"elo":1638,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":19,"x":708.9,"y":97.1,"elo":1624,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":20,"x":782.6,"y":111.7,"elo":1610,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":21,"x":876,"y":125.6,"elo":1597,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 8, 2023 Gilbert Burns L -13
Mar 5, 2022 Colby Covington L -14
Apr 24, 2021 Kamaru Usman L -14
Jul 11, 2020 Kamaru Usman L -14
Nov 2, 2019 Nate Diaz W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.77 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.91 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.82 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
53% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
70% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.34 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
6 / 12
Finish rate
KO
5
42% of wins
SUB
1
8% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 5 (45%) 5 Sub: 1 (9%) 1 Dec: 5 (45%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1707
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.4
actual +2 vs expected