HonestElo
← welterweight

Alex Morono

Active #60 welterweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1527 ±33
LCB 1484
Rank
#60
top 65% of division
UFC record
13-10-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 · Dec 9
Streak
-4
Δ90d -16 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

23 fights · tap & drag
Jan 2, 2016 — W vs Kyle Noke Δ+33Dec 17, 2016 — W vs James Moontasri Δ+25Sep 22, 2017 — L vs Keita Nakamura Δ-37Feb 18, 2018 — W vs Joshua Burkman Δ+26Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Jordan Mein Δ-30Nov 24, 2018 — W vs Song Kenan Δ+18Mar 9, 2019 — W vs Zak Ottow Δ+19Oct 12, 2019 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+14Feb 8, 2020 — L vs Khaos Williams Δ-22Nov 14, 2020 — W vs Rhys McKee Δ+13Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Anthony Pettis Δ-13May 8, 2021 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+23Sep 4, 2021 — W vs David Zawada Δ+12Dec 4, 2021 — W vs Mickey Gall Δ+16Jul 30, 2022 — W vs Matthew Semelsberger Δ+16Dec 10, 2022 — L vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ-19May 13, 2023 — W vs Tim Means Δ+16Oct 7, 2023 — L vs Joaquin Buckley Δ-19Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Court McGee Δ+12Jun 1, 2024 — L vs Niko Price Δ-19Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-16Mar 8, 2025 — L vs Carlos Leal Δ-23Feb 7, 2026 — L vs Daniil Donchenko Δ-16 14771520156416071650 20182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":167.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2016-01-02","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":104.8,"y":136.4,"elo":1558,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"James Moontasri","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":169.3,"y":182.1,"elo":1521,"date":"2017-09-22","opp":"Keita Nakamura","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":203.7,"y":149.9,"elo":1547,"date":"2018-02-18","opp":"Joshua Burkman","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":240.6,"y":187,"elo":1517,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Jordan Mein","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":5,"x":268.1,"y":165,"elo":1535,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Song Kenan","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":292.4,"y":142.4,"elo":1553,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Zak Ottow","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":342.5,"y":125.7,"elo":1567,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":370,"y":152.5,"elo":1545,"date":"2020-02-08","opp":"Khaos Williams","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":9,"x":434.6,"y":137.2,"elo":1558,"date":"2020-11-14","opp":"Rhys McKee","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":442.7,"y":153.7,"elo":1544,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":11,"x":475.1,"y":125.6,"elo":1567,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":12,"x":502.5,"y":111.5,"elo":1579,"date":"2021-09-04","opp":"David Zawada","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":523.6,"y":92,"elo":1595,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Mickey Gall","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":578.5,"y":73,"elo":1610,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Matthew Semelsberger","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":15,"x":609.2,"y":96.1,"elo":1591,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":644.8,"y":76.6,"elo":1607,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":678.8,"y":99.5,"elo":1588,"date":"2023-10-07","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":720.8,"y":85.3,"elo":1600,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":19,"x":733.7,"y":108.1,"elo":1581,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Niko Price","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":20,"x":764.4,"y":127.5,"elo":1566,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":21,"x":798.4,"y":155.5,"elo":1543,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Carlos Leal","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":22,"x":876,"y":175.2,"elo":1527,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Daniil Donchenko","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Daniil Donchenko L -16
Mar 8, 2025 Carlos Leal L -23
Oct 12, 2024 Daniel Rodriguez L -16
Jun 1, 2024 Niko Price L -19
Apr 6, 2024 Court McGee W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.66 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.71 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.31 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
24% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
47% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.31 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
31%
4 / 13
Finish rate
KO
2
15% of wins
SUB
2
15% of wins
DEC
9
69% of wins
KO: 2 (15%) 2 Sub: 2 (15%) 2 Dec: 9 (69%) 9
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
3 75%
R2
1 25%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1528
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
12.4
actual +1 vs expected