HonestElo
← welterweight

Patrick Cote "The Predator"

Inactive · age 46 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2004
Elo rating
1487
Global Elo 1530 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-11-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d +10 · Δ1y +10
Last fight
Apr 8, 2017
Loss by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Oct 22, 2004 — L vs Tito Ortiz Δ-19Apr 16, 2005 — L vs Joe Doerksen Δ-34Aug 6, 2005 — L vs Chris Leben Δ-22Nov 11, 2006 — L vs Travis Lutter Δ-35Feb 3, 2007 — W vs Scott Smith Δ+38Aug 25, 2007 — W vs Kendall Grove Δ+27Jan 23, 2008 — W vs Drew McFedries Δ+23Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Ricardo Almeida Δ+18Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-9May 8, 2010 — L vs Alan Belcher Δ-15Oct 23, 2010 — L vs Tom Lawlor Δ-15Jul 7, 2012 — L vs Cung Le Δ-15Nov 17, 2012 — W vs Alessio Sakara Δ+19Mar 16, 2013 — W vs Bobby Voelker Δ+18Apr 16, 2014 — W vs Kyle Noke Δ+19Sep 27, 2014 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-11Apr 25, 2015 — W vs Joe Riggs Δ+17Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Joshua Burkman Δ+19Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Ben Saunders Δ+23Jun 18, 2016 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-10Apr 8, 2017 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-13 130013501400145015001550 2007201020132016 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":219.8,"elo":1449,"date":"2004-10-22","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":1,"x":117.8,"y":263.8,"elo":1414,"date":"2005-04-16","opp":"Joe Doerksen","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":2,"x":135.6,"y":291.7,"elo":1392,"date":"2005-08-06","opp":"Chris Leben","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":3,"x":208.7,"y":337.2,"elo":1357,"date":"2006-11-11","opp":"Travis Lutter","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":4,"x":221.9,"y":288.5,"elo":1395,"date":"2007-02-03","opp":"Scott Smith","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":254.1,"y":254.5,"elo":1422,"date":"2007-08-25","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":6,"x":277.9,"y":225.6,"elo":1444,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Drew McFedries","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":7,"x":303.9,"y":203.2,"elo":1462,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Ricardo Almeida","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":321.6,"y":215.1,"elo":1452,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-9},{"i":9,"x":410.2,"y":233.7,"elo":1438,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Alan Belcher","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":436.8,"y":253.1,"elo":1423,"date":"2010-10-23","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":11,"x":535.4,"y":272.9,"elo":1407,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Cung Le","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":556.4,"y":249.1,"elo":1426,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Alessio Sakara","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":13,"x":575.2,"y":226.2,"elo":1444,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Bobby Voelker","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":637.9,"y":201.9,"elo":1463,"date":"2014-04-16","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":15,"x":663.8,"y":216.5,"elo":1451,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":16,"x":697,"y":194.2,"elo":1469,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Joe Riggs","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":716,"y":169.7,"elo":1488,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Joshua Burkman","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":18,"x":739.3,"y":140.4,"elo":1511,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":19,"x":763.5,"y":153.7,"elo":1500,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":20,"x":810,"y":170.3,"elo":1487,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 8, 2017 Thiago Alves L -13
Jun 18, 2016 Donald Cerrone L -10
Jan 17, 2016 Ben Saunders W +23
Aug 23, 2015 Joshua Burkman W +19
Apr 25, 2015 Joe Riggs W +17
3 post-fight bonuses
  • Knockout of the Night ×2
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$50,000 in bonus money, plus 2 at rates we can't cite

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Patrick Cote has earned 3. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
4
40% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
50% of wins
KO: 4 (44%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (56%) 5
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
1 25%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 662 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 18%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
45%
of losses by finish
5 of 11 · usually R3
2 KO/TKO 3 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1588
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ben Saunders
Elo 1609 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.3
+1.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 21 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1624
1600
Notable wins
Ben Saunders 1609
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 57m
Avg fight time
11:17
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
9y 4mo
Title fights
0-2
Bonuses
3
vs Compare Patrick Cote with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Patrick Cote on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.