HonestElo
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Patrick Cote

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1521 ±34
LCB 1477
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-11-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Apr 8, 2017
L by Decision

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Oct 22, 2004 — L vs Tito Ortiz Δ-19Apr 16, 2005 — L vs Joe Doerksen Δ-34Aug 6, 2005 — L vs Chris Leben Δ-22Nov 11, 2006 — L vs Travis Lutter Δ-35Feb 3, 2007 — W vs Scott Smith Δ+38Aug 25, 2007 — W vs Kendall Grove Δ+27Jan 23, 2008 — W vs Drew McFedries Δ+23Jul 5, 2008 — W vs Ricardo Almeida Δ+18Oct 25, 2008 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-9May 8, 2010 — L vs Alan Belcher Δ-15Oct 23, 2010 — L vs Tom Lawlor Δ-15Jul 7, 2012 — L vs Cung Le Δ-15Mar 16, 2013 — W vs Bobby Voelker Δ+19Apr 16, 2014 — W vs Kyle Noke Δ+20Sep 27, 2014 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-11Apr 25, 2015 — W vs Joe Riggs Δ+18Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Joshua Burkman Δ+20Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Ben Saunders Δ+24Jun 18, 2016 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-10Apr 8, 2017 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-12 13491404145915151570 2007201020132016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":109.3,"elo":1481,"date":"2004-10-22","opp":"Tito Ortiz","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":1,"x":56.9,"y":142.5,"elo":1446,"date":"2005-04-16","opp":"Joe Doerksen","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":2,"x":77.9,"y":163.4,"elo":1425,"date":"2005-08-06","opp":"Chris Leben","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":3,"x":164.4,"y":197.5,"elo":1389,"date":"2006-11-11","opp":"Travis Lutter","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":4,"x":180.1,"y":161,"elo":1427,"date":"2007-02-03","opp":"Scott Smith","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":218.1,"y":135.4,"elo":1454,"date":"2007-08-25","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":6,"x":246.4,"y":113.6,"elo":1476,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Drew McFedries","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":7,"x":277.1,"y":95.9,"elo":1495,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Ricardo Almeida","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":298.1,"y":105,"elo":1485,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-9},{"i":9,"x":402.9,"y":119,"elo":1471,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Alan Belcher","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":434.4,"y":133.6,"elo":1456,"date":"2010-10-23","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":11,"x":551,"y":148.5,"elo":1440,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Cung Le","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":598.2,"y":130.5,"elo":1459,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Bobby Voelker","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":13,"x":672.3,"y":111.5,"elo":1479,"date":"2014-04-16","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":14,"x":703,"y":121.8,"elo":1468,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":15,"x":742.3,"y":104.3,"elo":1486,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Joe Riggs","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":16,"x":764.8,"y":85.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Joshua Burkman","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":17,"x":792.3,"y":62.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":18,"x":821,"y":72,"elo":1520,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-10},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":83.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 8, 2017 Thiago Alves L -12
Jun 18, 2016 Donald Cerrone L -10
Jan 17, 2016 Ben Saunders W +24
Aug 23, 2015 Joshua Burkman W +20
Apr 25, 2015 Joe Riggs W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.49 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.87 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.58 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
20% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.23 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
44%
4 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
56% of wins
KO: 4 (44%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (56%) 5
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
1 25%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1588
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.7
actual +1 vs expected