HonestElo
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Andre Fialho

Inactive
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Elo rating
1444
Global Elo 1488 ±34
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +25 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Sep 23, 2023
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 1m
Avg fight time
8:44
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
4.2
Since last fight
2y 9mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jan 22, 2022 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-21Apr 16, 2022 — W vs Miguel Baeza Δ+39May 7, 2022 — W vs Cameron Vancamp Δ+31Jun 11, 2022 — L vs Jake Matthews Δ-28Nov 19, 2022 — L vs Muslim Salikhov Δ-25May 20, 2023 — L vs Joaquin Buckley Δ-16Sep 23, 2023 — L vs Tim Means Δ-16 1400142514501475150015251550 2023 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":283.5,"elo":1459,"date":"2022-01-22","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":189.3,"y":200.5,"elo":1498,"date":"2022-04-16","opp":"Miguel Baeza","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":214.1,"y":133.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Cameron Vancamp","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":255.5,"y":194.3,"elo":1501,"date":"2022-06-11","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":445.9,"y":248.1,"elo":1476,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Muslim Salikhov","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":5,"x":661,"y":283.1,"elo":1460,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":317,"elo":1444,"date":"2023-09-23","opp":"Tim Means","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 23, 2023 Tim Means L -16
May 20, 2023 Joaquin Buckley L -16
Nov 19, 2022 Muslim Salikhov L -25
Jun 11, 2022 Jake Matthews L -28
May 7, 2022 Cameron Vancamp W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 202 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 2%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
80%
of losses by finish
4 of 5 · usually R2
4 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1553
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Miguel Baeza
Elo 1539 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.0
−1.0 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1595
1526

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Andre Fialho on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.