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Jake Matthews

Active #26 welterweight · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1613 ±34
LCB 1569
Rank
#26
top 27% of division
UFC record
15-8-0
KO 1 · Sub 6 · Dec 7
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Sep 27, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

23 fights · tap & drag
Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Dashon Johnson Δ+33Nov 7, 2014 — W vs Vagner Rocha Δ+28May 9, 2015 — L vs James Vick Δ-31Nov 14, 2015 — W vs Akbarh Arreola Δ+25Mar 19, 2016 — W vs Johnny Case Δ+38Jul 8, 2016 — L vs Kevin Lee Δ-19Nov 26, 2016 — L vs Andrew Holbrook Δ-19Nov 18, 2017 — W vs Bojan Velickovic Δ+14Feb 10, 2018 — W vs Li Jingliang Δ+16Jun 23, 2018 — W vs Shinsho Anzai Δ+16Dec 1, 2018 — L vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ-21Oct 5, 2019 — W vs Rostem Akman Δ+11Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Emil Meek Δ+12Sep 26, 2020 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+16Mar 6, 2021 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-20Jun 11, 2022 — W vs Andre Fialho Δ+16Dec 17, 2022 — L vs Matthew Semelsberger Δ-18Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Darrius Flowers Δ+14Nov 18, 2023 — L vs Michael Morales Δ-17Jun 1, 2024 — W vs Phil Rowe Δ+14Feb 8, 2025 — W vs Francisco Prado Δ+11Jul 12, 2025 — W vs Chidi Njokuani Δ+14Sep 27, 2025 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-18 14901535158016251670 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Dashon Johnson","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":51.4,"y":152.9,"elo":1561,"date":"2014-11-07","opp":"Vagner Rocha","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":89.3,"y":188.9,"elo":1530,"date":"2015-05-09","opp":"James Vick","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":3,"x":128.5,"y":159.7,"elo":1555,"date":"2015-11-14","opp":"Akbarh Arreola","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":154.6,"y":114.6,"elo":1593,"date":"2016-03-19","opp":"Johnny Case","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":177.6,"y":136.9,"elo":1575,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":206.9,"y":159.8,"elo":1555,"date":"2016-11-26","opp":"Andrew Holbrook","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":280.9,"y":143.6,"elo":1569,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Bojan Velickovic","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":298.3,"y":124.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2018-02-10","opp":"Li Jingliang","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":325.9,"y":106.6,"elo":1600,"date":"2018-06-23","opp":"Shinsho Anzai","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":359.3,"y":131.6,"elo":1579,"date":"2018-12-01","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":11,"x":423.1,"y":118.4,"elo":1590,"date":"2019-10-05","opp":"Rostem Akman","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":12,"x":452.2,"y":104.9,"elo":1602,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Emil Meek","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":497.2,"y":86.6,"elo":1617,"date":"2020-09-26","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":530.6,"y":109.9,"elo":1597,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":15,"x":626.4,"y":91.2,"elo":1613,"date":"2022-06-11","opp":"Andre Fialho","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":16,"x":665.5,"y":112.5,"elo":1595,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Matthew Semelsberger","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":17,"x":712,"y":96.6,"elo":1609,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Darrius Flowers","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":18,"x":735.2,"y":116.3,"elo":1592,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Michael Morales","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":19,"x":775.9,"y":99.6,"elo":1606,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Phil Rowe","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":20,"x":828.1,"y":87.1,"elo":1617,"date":"2025-02-08","opp":"Francisco Prado","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":21,"x":860,"y":71.1,"elo":1630,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Chidi Njokuani","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":876,"y":92.2,"elo":1613,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 27, 2025 Neil Magny L -18
Jul 12, 2025 Chidi Njokuani W +14
Feb 8, 2025 Francisco Prado W +11
Jun 1, 2024 Phil Rowe W +14
Nov 18, 2023 Michael Morales L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.05 avg 3.61
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.40 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.32 avg 1.81
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.68 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
47%
7 / 15
Finish rate
KO
1
7% of wins
SUB
6
40% of wins
DEC
7
47% of wins
KO: 1 (7%) Sub: 6 (43%) 6 Dec: 7 (50%) 7
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
2 25%
R2
4 50%
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1559
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
12.9
actual +2 vs expected