HonestElo
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Sean Brady

Active #8 welterweight · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1674 ±31
LCB 1634
Rank
#8
top 8% of division
UFC record
8-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Nov 15, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Court McGee Δ+30Feb 29, 2020 — W vs Ismail Naurdiev Δ+30Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Christian Aguilera Δ+31Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Jake Matthews Δ+36Nov 20, 2021 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+30Oct 22, 2022 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-18Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ+18Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Gilbert Burns Δ+16Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Leon Edwards Δ+21Nov 15, 2025 — L vs Michael Morales Δ-19 14901551161216721733 202020212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":201.1,"elo":1530,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":75.4,"y":175.2,"elo":1560,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Ismail Naurdiev","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":145.3,"y":148.6,"elo":1590,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Christian Aguilera","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":217.8,"y":117.4,"elo":1626,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":317.2,"y":91.1,"elo":1656,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":446.2,"y":106.5,"elo":1639,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":602,"y":91.2,"elo":1656,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":709.4,"y":77.3,"elo":1672,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":784.7,"y":58.9,"elo":1693,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":75.6,"elo":1674,"date":"2025-11-15","opp":"Michael Morales","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 15, 2025 Michael Morales L -19
Mar 22, 2025 Leon Edwards W +21
Sep 7, 2024 Gilbert Burns W +16
Dec 2, 2023 Kelvin Gastelum W +18
Oct 22, 2022 Belal Muhammad L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.60 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.77 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.21 avg 1.75
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
53% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
87% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.83 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
4
50% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 4 (50%) 4 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
R2
1 25%
R3
2 50%
R4
1 25%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1670
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.9
actual +3 vs expected