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Gilbert Burns

Active #25 welterweight · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1621 ±37
LCB 1573
Rank
#25
top 26% of division
UFC record
15-9-0
KO 3 · Sub 5 · Dec 7
Streak
-4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
May 17, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Jul 26, 2014 — W vs Andreas Stahl Δ+29Oct 25, 2014 — W vs Christos Giagos Δ+30Mar 21, 2015 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+28Nov 7, 2015 — L vs Rashid Magomedov Δ-28Jul 7, 2016 — W vs Lukasz Sajewski Δ+25Sep 24, 2016 — L vs Michel Prazeres Δ-18Sep 16, 2017 — W vs Jason Saggo Δ+17Apr 14, 2018 — W vs Dan Moret Δ+14Jul 7, 2018 — L vs Dan Hooker Δ-19Dec 8, 2018 — W vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier Δ+16Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Mike Davis Δ+14Aug 10, 2019 — W vs Aleksei Kunchenko Δ+14Sep 28, 2019 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+15Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Demian Maia Δ+22May 30, 2020 — W vs Tyron Woodley Δ+17Feb 13, 2021 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-17Jul 10, 2021 — W vs Stephen Thompson Δ+16Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Khamzat Chimaev Δ-18Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+19Apr 8, 2023 — W vs Jorge Masvidal Δ+13May 6, 2023 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-16Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Jack Della Maddalena Δ-19Sep 7, 2024 — L vs Sean Brady Δ-16May 17, 2025 — L vs Michael Morales Δ-17 14891549160916681728 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":200.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2014-07-26","opp":"Andreas Stahl","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":43.6,"y":173.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"Christos Giagos","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":75.4,"y":149.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2015-03-21","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":125.2,"y":174.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2015-11-07","opp":"Rashid Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":177.7,"y":152.1,"elo":1584,"date":"2016-07-07","opp":"Lukasz Sajewski","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":194.7,"y":167.7,"elo":1566,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":271.7,"y":152.7,"elo":1583,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Jason Saggo","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":317.1,"y":140.2,"elo":1597,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Dan Moret","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":335.2,"y":157.4,"elo":1578,"date":"2018-07-07","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":368.4,"y":143.3,"elo":1594,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Olivier Aubin-Mercier","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":398.6,"y":131.4,"elo":1607,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Mike Davis","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":421.3,"y":118.6,"elo":1621,"date":"2019-08-10","opp":"Aleksei Kunchenko","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":431.9,"y":105,"elo":1637,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":468.1,"y":85.6,"elo":1659,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":14,"x":484.7,"y":70.6,"elo":1676,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":540.6,"y":85.8,"elo":1659,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":572.4,"y":71.9,"elo":1674,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":631.3,"y":88.1,"elo":1656,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Khamzat Chimaev","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":693.2,"y":71,"elo":1675,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":19,"x":709.8,"y":59.4,"elo":1688,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":20,"x":715.9,"y":73.6,"elo":1672,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":21,"x":782.3,"y":90,"elo":1654,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Jack Della Maddalena","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":22,"x":821.6,"y":104.1,"elo":1638,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Sean Brady","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":119.3,"elo":1621,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Michael Morales","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 17, 2025 Michael Morales L -17
Sep 7, 2024 Sean Brady L -16
Mar 9, 2024 Jack Della Maddalena L -19
May 6, 2023 Belal Muhammad L -16
Apr 8, 2023 Jorge Masvidal W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.97 avg 3.61
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.43 avg 2.82
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.00 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
38% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.43 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
53%
8 / 15
Finish rate
KO
3
20% of wins
SUB
5
33% of wins
DEC
7
47% of wins
KO: 3 (20%) 3 Sub: 5 (33%) 5 Dec: 7 (47%) 7
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
4 50%
R2
3 38%
R3
1 13%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1657
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
12.5
actual +2 vs expected