HonestElo
← welterweight

Kamaru Usman

Active #2 welterweight · Switch · 183 cm · reach 193 cm
Elo rating
1747 ±43
LCB 1691
Rank
#2
top 1% of division
UFC record
16-3-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 11
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Jun 14, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Jul 12, 2015 — W vs Hayder Hassan Δ+41Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Leon Edwards Δ+29Jul 23, 2016 — W vs Alexander Yakovlev Δ+26Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Warlley Alves Δ+29Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Sean Strickland Δ+28Sep 16, 2017 — W vs Sergio Moraes Δ+17Jan 14, 2018 — W vs Emil Meek Δ+10May 19, 2018 — W vs Demian Maia Δ+16Nov 30, 2018 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+15Mar 2, 2019 — W vs Tyron Woodley Δ+19Dec 14, 2019 — W vs Colby Covington Δ+20Jul 11, 2020 — W vs Jorge Masvidal Δ+15Feb 13, 2021 — W vs Gilbert Burns Δ+17Apr 24, 2021 — W vs Jorge Masvidal Δ+14Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Colby Covington Δ+14Aug 20, 2022 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-32Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-24Oct 21, 2023 — L vs Khamzat Chimaev Δ-20Jun 14, 2025 — W vs Joaquin Buckley Δ+12 15011589167617631850 20172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":211.7,"elo":1541,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Hayder Hassan","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":61.6,"y":194.2,"elo":1570,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":112.6,"y":178.4,"elo":1596,"date":"2016-07-23","opp":"Alexander Yakovlev","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":140.6,"y":160.7,"elo":1625,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":173.5,"y":143.9,"elo":1653,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":211.3,"y":133.9,"elo":1669,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Sergio Moraes","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":239.5,"y":127.8,"elo":1679,"date":"2018-01-14","opp":"Emil Meek","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":7,"x":268.9,"y":117.9,"elo":1696,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":314.7,"y":108.8,"elo":1711,"date":"2018-11-30","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":336.4,"y":97,"elo":1730,"date":"2019-03-02","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":403.8,"y":84.6,"elo":1750,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":453.2,"y":75.8,"elo":1765,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":504.2,"y":65.3,"elo":1782,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":520.6,"y":56.8,"elo":1796,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":566.7,"y":48.3,"elo":1810,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":634.1,"y":67.5,"elo":1779,"date":"2022-08-20","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":16,"x":683.5,"y":82.2,"elo":1754,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":17,"x":734.5,"y":94.2,"elo":1735,"date":"2023-10-21","opp":"Khamzat Chimaev","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":86.9,"elo":1747,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"W","delta":12}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 14, 2025 Joaquin Buckley W +12
Oct 21, 2023 Khamzat Chimaev L -20
Mar 18, 2023 Leon Edwards L -24
Aug 20, 2022 Leon Edwards L -32
Nov 6, 2021 Colby Covington W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.97 avg 3.58
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.55 avg 2.85
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.66 avg 1.76
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
90% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.08 avg 0.46
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
31%
5 / 16
Finish rate
KO
4
25% of wins
SUB
1
6% of wins
DEC
11
69% of wins
KO: 4 (25%) 4 Sub: 1 (6%) Dec: 11 (69%) 11
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
2 40%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5
1 20%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1677
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
11.0
actual +5 vs expected