HonestElo
← middleweight

Antonio Arroyo

Inactive · age 37 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
Elo rating
1421
Global Elo 1447 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +33 · Δ1y +33
Last fight
Sep 18, 2021
Loss by KO · R3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Nov 16, 2019 — L vs Andre Muniz Δ-29Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Deron Winn Δ-29Sep 18, 2021 — L vs Joaquin Buckley Δ-27 140014201440146014801500 20202021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":161.4,"elo":1478,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Andre Muniz","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":517.5,"y":254.8,"elo":1449,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Deron Winn","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":810,"y":341.5,"elo":1421,"date":"2021-09-18","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 18, 2021 Joaquin Buckley L -27
Dec 19, 2020 Deron Winn L -29
Nov 16, 2019 Andre Muniz L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 95 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1491
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
1.4
−1.4 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 3 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1506
Career at a glance
Octagon time
42m
Avg fight time
14:09
Fights per year
1.6
Since last fight
5y 1mo
vs Compare Antonio Arroyo with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1709
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Kamaru Usman
#3 · Elo 1672
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1671
Sean Strickland C
#5 · Elo 1657
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Antonio Arroyo on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.