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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

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By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 3

Tale of the tape

6-5-0 UFC record 10-7-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 2
-2 Streak -2
37 Age 41
5'10" 178 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
70" 178 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1544 Global Elo 1578
1497 Elo rating 1531
Billy Quarantillo — Notable
At a glance
Diego Ferreira — Notable
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014

Billy Quarantillo — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 863 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
66% Distance
  • Distance 66%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 16%

Diego Ferreira — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 776 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 16%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

7.04
4.70
div avg 4.31
52%
40%
div avg 48%
5.87
3.46
div avg 3.46
43%
56%
div avg 56%
1.59
0.82
div avg 1.56
25%
30%
div avg 41%
61%
58%
div avg 65%
1.10
0.55
div avg 0.48
4
2
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Billy Quarantillo
67% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 1
can finish?
Diego Ferreira
finished 57%
4 of 7 losses
Diego Ferreira
70% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 2
can finish?
Billy Quarantillo
finished 60%
3 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Diego Ferreira has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1583 vs 1553, 3 quality wins to 0.

Billy Quarantillo red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1553
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alexander Hernandez
Elo 1551 at fight time
Expected wins
5.8
+0.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1500
1588
Diego Ferreira blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1583
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Mairbek Taisumov
Elo 1634 at fight time
Expected wins
8.3
+1.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1473
1568

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

Corner A recent form
Billy Quarantillo
Corner B recent form
Diego Ferreira
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Billy Quarantillo & Diego Ferreira on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.