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Alexia Thainara won · by Decision · R3
Final result · recorded Aug 9, 2026
Alexia Thainara
defeated Amanda Lemos by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Amanda Lemos 22.1% · Alexia Thainara 77.9%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Amanda Lemos 50.1% · Alexia Thainara 49.9%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Tale of the tape

9-7-0 UFC record 4-0-0
KO 3 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
-3 Streak +4
39 Age 30
5'4" 163 cm Height 5'4" 163 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1572 Global Elo 1616
1525 Elo rating 1590
Amanda Lemos — Notable
At a glance
Alexia Thainara — Notable
At a glance

Amanda Lemos — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 501 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
  • Distance 72%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 16%

Alexia Thainara — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 209 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Distance
  • Distance 64%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 14%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.84
4.22
div avg 4.34
55%
52%
div avg 48%
3.22
2.66
div avg 3.78
44%
45%
div avg 54%
0.93
4.24
div avg 1.99
58%
48%
div avg 47%
63%
100%
div avg 66%
0.68
1.51
div avg 0.56
2
9
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Amanda Lemos
56% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 2
can finish?
Alexia Thainara
finished
no losses
Alexia Thainara
25% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Amanda Lemos
finished 43%
3 of 7 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Amanda Lemos has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1608 vs 1535, 1 quality wins to 0.

Amanda Lemos red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1608
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Marina Rodriguez
Elo 1604 at fight time
Expected wins
8.2
+0.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1488
1587
Alexia Thainara blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1535
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Amanda Lemos
Elo 1588 at fight time
Expected wins
2.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1508
1588
Corner A recent form
Amanda Lemos
Corner B recent form
Alexia Thainara
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Amanda Lemos & Alexia Thainara on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.