Other bouts 11
- 1lightweight MainMateusz GamrotvsQuillan Salkilld
- 2lightweightDiego FerreiravsBilly Quarantillo
- 3featherweightDarren ElkinsvsYadier del Valle
- 5welterweightBilly Ray GoffvsTy Miller
- 6heavyweightSteven AsplundvsGuilherme Pat
- 7light heavyweightDiyar NurgozhayvsBruno Lopes
- 8Not linkedheavyweightLouie SutherlandvsJose Montanha
- 9Not linkedlightweightManoel SousavsRichie Miranda
- 10featherweightMiles JohnsvsGianni Vazquez
- 11women's flyweightJuliana MillervsRavena Oliveira
- 12Not linkedwomen's strawweightGigi CanutovsCarol Foro
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Amanda Lemos 22.1% · Alexia Thainara 77.9%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Amanda Lemos 50.1% · Alexia Thainara 49.9%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 8
Tale of the tape
| 9-7-0 | UFC record | 4-0-0 |
| KO 3 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 1 |
| -3 | Streak | +4 |
| 39 | Age | 30 |
| 5'4" 163 cm | Height | 5'4" 163 cm |
| 65" 165 cm | Reach | 67" 170 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1572 | Global Elo | 1616 |
| 1525 | Elo rating | 1590 |
Amanda Lemos — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Top 5 · women's strawweightKnockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Yazmin Jauregui0.71
- 2Amanda Lemos0.51
- 3Denise Gomes0.51
- 4Ketlen Souza0.45
- 5Viktoriia Dudakova0.37
- 56% of wins by KO or submission
- 33% of wins finished in round 1
Alexia Thainara — Notable ▼
- 4-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · women's strawweightTakedown Defense
- 1Alexia Thainara100%
- 2Talita Alencar100%
- 3Yazmin Jauregui100%
- 4Nicolle Caliari100%
- 5Alice Ardelean86%
- Top 5 · women's strawweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Alexia Thainara9.30
- 2Tatiana Suarez8.94
- 3Gillian Robertson7.09
- 4Jaqueline Amorim6.57
- 5Virna Jandiroba6.50
- Top 5 · women's strawweightTakedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Tatiana Suarez4.52
- 2Alexia Thainara4.24
- 3Piera Rodriguez4.21
- 4Carla Esparza3.28
- 5Fatima Kline3.13
Amanda Lemos — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 501 landed total · career
- Head 63%
- Body 22%
- Leg 14%
- Distance 72%
- Clinch 12%
- Ground 16%
Alexia Thainara — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 209 landed total · career
- Head 49%
- Body 26%
- Leg 24%
- Distance 64%
- Clinch 22%
- Ground 14%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Alice Ardelean7.00
- 2Yazmin Jauregui6.64
- 3Jessica Andrade6.37
- 4Julia Polastri6.22
- 5Karolina Kowalkiewicz5.54
- 1Tatiana Suarez60%
- 2Julia Polastri58%
- 3Ketlen Souza57%
- 4Loma Lookboonmee56%
- 5Amanda Lemos55%
- 1Tatiana Suarez1.63
- 2Jaqueline Amorim2.06
- 3Josefine Knutsson2.40
- 4Loma Lookboonmee2.45
- 5Fatima Kline2.46
- 1Stephanie Luciano64%
- 2Molly McCann63%
- 3Loopy Godinez62%
- 4Iasmin Lucindo62%
- 5Fatima Kline62%
- 1Tatiana Suarez4.52
- 2Alexia Thainara4.24
- 3Piera Rodriguez4.21
- 4Carla Esparza3.28
- 5Fatima Kline3.13
- 1Josefine Knutsson75%
- 2Julia Polastri75%
- 3Yan Xiaonan73%
- 4Fatima Kline67%
- 5Stephanie Luciano63%
- 1Alexia Thainara100%
- 2Talita Alencar100%
- 3Yazmin Jauregui100%
- 4Nicolle Caliari100%
- 5Alice Ardelean86%
- 1Jaqueline Amorim4.27
- 2Alexia Thainara1.51
- 3Polyana Viana1.51
- 4Virna Jandiroba1.39
- 5Mackenzie Dern1.01
- 1Alexia Thainara9.30
- 2Tatiana Suarez8.94
- 3Gillian Robertson7.09
- 4Jaqueline Amorim6.57
- 5Virna Jandiroba6.50
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Amanda Lemos has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1608 vs 1535, 1 quality wins to 0.
- Aug 8, 2026
- Mar 14, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025
- Mar 8, 2025
- Jul 20, 2024
- Aug 8, 2026
- Mar 28, 2026
- Sep 27, 2025
- Mar 22, 2025