HonestElo
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Gavin Tucker

Inactive · Southpaw · 168 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1547 ±36
LCB 1501
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Aug 5, 2023
L by Submission

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Feb 19, 2017 — W vs Sam Sicilia Δ+27Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Ricky Glenn Δ-31Jul 27, 2019 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+31Aug 8, 2020 — W vs Justin Jaynes Δ+34Dec 12, 2020 — W vs Billy Quarantillo Δ+31Mar 13, 2021 — L vs Dan Ige Δ-17Aug 5, 2023 — L vs Diego Lopes Δ-23 14561500154415871631 201820192020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":150.4,"elo":1527,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Sam Sicilia","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":1,"x":97,"y":187.6,"elo":1496,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Ricky Glenn","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":344.9,"y":150.5,"elo":1527,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":481.4,"y":109.9,"elo":1560,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Justin Jaynes","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":527,"y":72.4,"elo":1591,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Billy Quarantillo","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":559.8,"y":93.4,"elo":1574,"date":"2021-03-13","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":121.4,"elo":1551,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Diego Lopes","result":"L","delta":-23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 5, 2023 Diego Lopes L -23
Mar 13, 2021 Dan Ige L -17
Dec 12, 2020 Billy Quarantillo W +31
Aug 8, 2020 Justin Jaynes W +34
Jul 27, 2019 SeungWoo Choi W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.64 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.54 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.65 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.24 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
R3
2 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1537
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.7
actual 0 vs expected