HonestElo
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Jacob Kilburn

Inactive Provisional · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1487 ±20
LCB 1461
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d +49 · Δ1y +49
Last fight
Jan 16, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

2 fights · tap & drag
Dec 7, 2019 — L vs Billy Quarantillo Δ-33Jan 16, 2021 — L vs Austin Lingo Δ-28 13981426145314801507 20202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":102.2,"elo":1467,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Billy Quarantillo","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":876,"y":157.8,"elo":1438,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Austin Lingo","result":"L","delta":-28}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 16, 2021 Austin Lingo L -28
Dec 7, 2019 Billy Quarantillo L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.68 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
32% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
6.76 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
37% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
6% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1486
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.0
actual -1 vs expected