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✓ Diyar Nurgozhay won · by TKO · R1

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes — Honest Elo matchup

light heavyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Aug 8, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Diyar Nurgozhay
#29 2-2-0
Elo 1444
VS
Corner B
Bruno Lopes
#39 1-3-0
Elo 1394
Final result · recorded Aug 8, 2026
Diyar Nurgozhay
defeated Bruno Lopes by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 58.9% · Bruno Lopes 41.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 48.9% · Bruno Lopes 51.1%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld Main event · lightweight Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo lightweight Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle featherweight Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara women's strawweight Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller welterweight Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat heavyweight Miles Johns vs Gianni Vazquez featherweight Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira women's flyweight

Tale of the tape

2-2-0 UFC record 1-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+2 Streak -3
29 Age 33
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1500 Global Elo 1440
1444 Elo rating 1394
Diyar Nurgozhay — Notable ▼
At a glance
Bruno Lopes — Notable ▼
At a glance

Diyar Nurgozhay — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 166 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
37% Body
  • Head 34%
  • Body 37%
  • Leg 30%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 12%

Bruno Lopes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 78 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
60% Distance
  • Distance 60%
  • Clinch 36%
  • Ground 4%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.68
2.52
div avg 4.82
63%
47%
div avg 52%
2.84
5.15
div avg 3.84
57%
44%
div avg 54%
1.54
2.91
div avg 1.87
75%
26%
div avg 42%
70%
100%
div avg 68%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.65
1
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Diyar Nurgozhay
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Bruno Lopes
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses
Bruno Lopes
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Diyar Nurgozhay
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Bruno Lopes has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1531 vs 1480, 0 quality wins to 0.

Diyar Nurgozhay red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1480
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rafael Tobias
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
1.9
+0.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1470
1474
Bruno Lopes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1531
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
−0.8 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1526
1467
Corner A recent form
Diyar Nurgozhay
Corner B recent form
Bruno Lopes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Diyar Nurgozhay & Bruno Lopes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.