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Olivier Aubin-Mercier "The Canadian Gangster"

Inactive · age 37 · Southpaw · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 71% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1489
Global Elo 1539 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 4 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Jul 27, 2019
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 26m
Avg fight time
12:11
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.3
Ground control
44m
Since last fight
6y 11mo

Honest Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Apr 16, 2014 — L vs Chad Laprise Δ-36Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Jake Lindsey Δ+33Apr 25, 2015 — W vs David Michaud Δ+33Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Tony Sims Δ+29Jan 30, 2016 — L vs Diego Ferreira Δ-33Jun 18, 2016 — W vs Thibault Gouti Δ+15Dec 10, 2016 — W vs Drew Dober Δ+17Sep 16, 2017 — W vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ+15Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+20Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-18Dec 8, 2018 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-16Jul 27, 2019 — L vs Arman Tsarukyan Δ-19 13751425147515251575 20152016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":347.8,"elo":1414,"date":"2014-04-16","opp":"Chad Laprise","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":153.9,"y":294.3,"elo":1447,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Jake Lindsey","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":229.7,"y":241.4,"elo":1480,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"David Michaud","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":274.5,"y":195,"elo":1509,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Tony Sims","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":334.2,"y":248.1,"elo":1476,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Diego Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":5,"x":386.5,"y":223.8,"elo":1491,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Thibault Gouti","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":451.9,"y":197.4,"elo":1508,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":556.4,"y":174.3,"elo":1522,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":632.2,"y":141.7,"elo":1543,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":674.1,"y":170.8,"elo":1524,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":723.7,"y":196.2,"elo":1509,"date":"2018-12-08","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":810,"y":227.4,"elo":1489,"date":"2019-07-27","opp":"Arman Tsarukyan","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 27, 2019 Arman Tsarukyan L -19
Dec 8, 2018 Gilbert Burns L -16
Jul 28, 2018 Alexander Hernandez L -18
Apr 7, 2018 Evan Dunham W +20
Sep 16, 2017 Anthony Rocco Martin W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
4
57% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 4 (57%) 4 Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
2 40%
R3
2 40%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 363 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
  • Distance 72%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 5 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1548
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Evan Dunham
Elo 1609 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.4
+0.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 12 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1481
Notable wins
Evan Dunham 1609

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Olivier Aubin-Mercier on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.