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Ty Miller won · by TKO · R3
Final result · recorded Aug 9, 2026
Ty Miller
defeated Billy Ray Goff by TKO in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Billy Ray Goff 36.2% · Ty Miller 63.8%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Billy Ray Goff 38.8% · Ty Miller 61.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Notable

Miller

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Miller

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

1-3-0 UFC record 2-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
-3 Streak +2
28 Age 26
5'10" 178 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
72" 183 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Switch Stance Orthodox
1441 Global Elo 1558
1396 Elo rating 1532
Billy Ray Goff — Notable
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
Ty Miller — Notable
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO

Billy Ray Goff — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 182 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
47% Head
  • Head 47%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 30%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 1%

Ty Miller — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 192 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
92% Head
  • Head 92%
  • Body 8%
  • Leg 1%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 15%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.63
12.60
div avg 4.23
46%
56%
div avg 50%
7.64
4.00
div avg 3.15
51%
53%
div avg 56%
0.46
0.00
div avg 1.89
5%
div avg 43%
50%
100%
div avg 71%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.43
4
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Billy Ray Goff
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ty Miller
finished
no losses
Ty Miller
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Billy Ray Goff
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Billy Ray Goff has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1506 vs 1470, 0 quality wins to 0.

Billy Ray Goff red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1506
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Yusaku Kinoshita
Elo 1464 at fight time
Expected wins
2.0
−1.0 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1464
1531
Ty Miller blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1470
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Adam Fugitt
Elo 1473 at fight time
Expected wins
1.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1473
1468
Corner A recent form
Billy Ray Goff
Corner B recent form
Ty Miller
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Billy Ray Goff & Ty Miller on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.