Other bouts 11
- 1lightweight MainMateusz GamrotvsQuillan Salkilld
- 2lightweightDiego FerreiravsBilly Quarantillo
- 3featherweightDarren ElkinsvsYadier del Valle
- 4women's strawweightAmanda LemosvsAlexia Thainara
- 6heavyweightSteven AsplundvsGuilherme Pat
- 7light heavyweightDiyar NurgozhayvsBruno Lopes
- 8Not linkedheavyweightLouie SutherlandvsJose Montanha
- 9Not linkedlightweightManoel SousavsRichie Miranda
- 10featherweightMiles JohnsvsGianni Vazquez
- 11women's flyweightJuliana MillervsRavena Oliveira
- 12Not linkedwomen's strawweightGigi CanutovsCarol Foro
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Billy Ray Goff 36.2% · Ty Miller 63.8%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Billy Ray Goff 38.8% · Ty Miller 61.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 8
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~5".
Tale of the tape
| 1-3-0 | UFC record | 2-0-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| -3 | Streak | +2 |
| 28 | Age | 26 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 6'2" 188 cm |
| 72" 183 cm | Reach | 77" 196 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1441 | Global Elo | 1558 |
| 1396 | Elo rating | 1532 |
Billy Ray Goff — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Ty Miller — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Billy Ray Goff — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 182 landed total · career
- Head 47%
- Body 24%
- Leg 30%
- Distance 89%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 1%
Ty Miller — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 192 landed total · career
- Head 92%
- Body 8%
- Leg 1%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 9%
- Ground 15%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniil Donchenko8.07
- 3Daniel Rodriguez7.18
- 4Max Holloway6.92
- 5Jacobe Smith6.85
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Daniil Donchenko62%
- 4Chidi Njokuani62%
- 5Gunnar Nelson61%
- 1Islam Makhachev1.42
- 2Jeremiah Wells1.43
- 3Seokhyeon Ko1.47
- 4Michael Page1.57
- 5Michael Chiesa1.73
- 1Daniil Donchenko70%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Muslim Salikhov62%
- 5Michael Page62%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Billy Ray Goff has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1506 vs 1470, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Aug 8, 2026
- May 31, 2025
- May 11, 2024
- Aug 26, 2023
- Aug 8, 2026
- Jan 24, 2026