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✓ Steven Asplund won · by Decision · R3

Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat — Honest Elo matchup

heavyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Aug 8, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Steven Asplund
#27 2-1-0
Elo 1488
VS
Corner B
Guilherme Pat
#43 1-2-0
Elo 1416
Final result · recorded Aug 8, 2026
Steven Asplund
defeated Guilherme Pat by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Steven Asplund 63.8% · Guilherme Pat 36.2%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Steven Asplund 50.9% · Guilherme Pat 49.1%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 8
Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld Main event · lightweight Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo lightweight Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle featherweight Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara women's strawweight Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller welterweight Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes light heavyweight Miles Johns vs Gianni Vazquez featherweight Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira women's flyweight

Notable

Asplund

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Pat

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

2-1-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+1 Streak -2
28 Age 32
6'5" 196 cm Height 6'6" 198 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 81" 206 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1533 Global Elo 1468
1488 Elo rating 1416
Steven Asplund — Notable ▼
At a glance
Guilherme Pat — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Steven Asplund — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 297 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
85% Head
  • Head 85%
  • Body 6%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
85% Distance
  • Distance 85%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 7%

Guilherme Pat — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 126 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

7.65
2.80
div avg 4.48
53%
61%
div avg 53%
5.23
2.82
div avg 3.40
48%
46%
div avg 51%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.90
0%
—
div avg 42%
100%
100%
div avg 72%
0.39
0.00
div avg 0.83
2
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Steven Asplund
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Guilherme Pat
finished 0%
never finished
Guilherme Pat
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Steven Asplund
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1513 (Steven Asplund) vs 1494 (Guilherme Pat).

Steven Asplund red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1513
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Guilherme Pat
Elo 1496 at fight time
Expected wins
1.5
+0.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1462
1496
Guilherme Pat blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1494
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Allen Frye Jr.
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
−0.6 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1500
1505
Corner A recent form
Steven Asplund
Corner B recent form
Guilherme Pat
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Steven Asplund & Guilherme Pat on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.