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heavyweight
Other bouts 3
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Las Vegas
Aug 8, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Corner A
Steven Asplund
1-1-0
Elo 1474
VS
Corner B
Guilherme Pat
1-1-0
Elo 1458

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Steven Asplund 50.0%
Corner B Guilherme Pat 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 3
Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira featherweight Juliana Miller vs Ravena Oliveira women's featherweight Donte Johnson vs Eric Mcconico middleweight

Tale of the tape

1-1-0 UFC record 1-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -1
27 Age 32
6'5" 196 cm Height 6'6" 198 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 81" 206 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1522 Global Elo 1516
1474 Elo rating 1458
Steven Asplund — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Guilherme Pat — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Steven Asplund — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 231 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
87% Head
  • Head 87%
  • Body 4%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
97% Distance
  • Distance 97%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 1%

Guilherme Pat — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 81 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

9.70
2.70
div avg 4.16
51%
62%
div avg 50%
6.63
2.03
div avg 4.13
50%
52%
div avg 50%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.53
—
—
div avg 38%
100%
100%
div avg 72%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.42
0
0
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Steven Asplund
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Guilherme Pat
finished 0%
never finished
Guilherme Pat
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Steven Asplund
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Steven Asplund has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1522 vs 1489, 0 quality wins to 0.

Steven Asplund red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1522
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Sean Sharaf
Elo 1462 at fight time
Expected wins
1.0
+0.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1462
1581
Guilherme Pat blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1489
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Allen Frye Jr.
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
1.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1500
1477
Corner A recent form
Steven Asplund
Corner B recent form
Guilherme Pat
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Steven Asplund & Guilherme Pat on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.