HonestElo
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Stevie Ray

Inactive · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1566 ±37
LCB 1518
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+1
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Oct 26, 2019
W by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Apr 11, 2015 — W vs Marcin Bandel Δ+30Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Leonardo Mafra Δ+28Oct 24, 2015 — W vs Mickael Lebout Δ+25Sep 24, 2016 — L vs Alan Patrick Δ-31Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+29Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+17Jul 16, 2017 — L vs Paul Felder Δ-20Mar 17, 2018 — L vs Kajan Johnson Δ-17Oct 27, 2018 — W vs Jessin Ayari Δ+13Jun 1, 2019 — L vs Leonardo Santos Δ-15Oct 26, 2019 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+16 14901527156416001637 2016201720182019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":178.3,"elo":1530,"date":"2015-04-11","opp":"Marcin Bandel","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":74.3,"y":138.1,"elo":1558,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Leonardo Mafra","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":124.7,"y":102.7,"elo":1582,"date":"2015-10-24","opp":"Mickael Lebout","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":297.2,"y":147.5,"elo":1551,"date":"2016-09-24","opp":"Alan Patrick","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":326,"y":105.8,"elo":1580,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":405.1,"y":81.7,"elo":1597,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":448.7,"y":110.7,"elo":1577,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Paul Felder","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":574,"y":134.9,"elo":1560,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Kajan Johnson","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":689.1,"y":115.9,"elo":1573,"date":"2018-10-27","opp":"Jessin Ayari","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":9,"x":800.5,"y":137.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2019-06-01","opp":"Leonardo Santos","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":114.7,"elo":1574,"date":"2019-10-26","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 26, 2019 Michael Johnson W +16
Jun 1, 2019 Leonardo Santos L -15
Oct 27, 2018 Jessin Ayari W +13
Mar 17, 2018 Kajan Johnson L -17
Jul 16, 2017 Paul Felder L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.45 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.72 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.69 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
56% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.58 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1563
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.8
actual +1 vs expected