HonestElo
← lightweight

Jamie Mullarkey

Active #85 lightweight · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1489 ±37
LCB 1442
Rank
#85
top 84% of division
UFC record
6-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d -13 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Jan 31, 2026
L by Submission

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Oct 5, 2019 — L vs Brad Riddell Δ-29Oct 17, 2020 — L vs Fares Ziam Δ-29Mar 27, 2021 — W vs Khama Worthy Δ+42Oct 2, 2021 — W vs Devonte Smith Δ+39Mar 5, 2022 — L vs Jalin Turner Δ-29Jul 9, 2022 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+17Feb 11, 2023 — W vs Francisco Prado Δ+16Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Muhammad Naimov Δ-20Sep 9, 2023 — W vs John Makdessi Δ+18Dec 9, 2023 — L vs Nasrat Haqparast Δ-17May 4, 2024 — L vs Mauricio Ruffy Δ-19Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Rolando Bedoya Δ+13Jan 31, 2026 — L vs Quillan Salkilld Δ-13 14031444148515261567 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":147.5,"elo":1471,"date":"2019-10-05","opp":"Brad Riddell","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":163.4,"y":184.4,"elo":1443,"date":"2020-10-17","opp":"Fares Ziam","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":222.8,"y":130.3,"elo":1485,"date":"2021-03-27","opp":"Khama Worthy","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":3,"x":292.5,"y":79.6,"elo":1524,"date":"2021-10-02","opp":"Devonte Smith","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":4,"x":349.3,"y":117.7,"elo":1494,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Jalin Turner","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":395.8,"y":95.6,"elo":1511,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":475.8,"y":75.6,"elo":1527,"date":"2023-02-11","opp":"Francisco Prado","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":517.1,"y":101.2,"elo":1507,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Muhammad Naimov","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":8,"x":553.3,"y":78.2,"elo":1525,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"John Makdessi","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":586.8,"y":99.6,"elo":1508,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Nasrat Haqparast","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":641.1,"y":124,"elo":1489,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Mauricio Ruffy","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":829.5,"y":107,"elo":1503,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Rolando Bedoya","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":124.3,"elo":1489,"date":"2026-01-31","opp":"Quillan Salkilld","result":"L","delta":-13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 31, 2026 Quillan Salkilld L -13
Sep 27, 2025 Rolando Bedoya W +13
May 4, 2024 Mauricio Ruffy L -19
Dec 9, 2023 Nasrat Haqparast L -17
Sep 9, 2023 John Makdessi W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.57 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.72 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.14 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
31% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
71% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.11 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
2
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 2 (33%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1527
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.1
actual 0 vs expected