HonestElo
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Hatsu Hioki

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1483 ±36
LCB 1436
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
May 9, 2015
L by KO

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Oct 29, 2011 — W vs George Roop Δ+28Feb 25, 2012 — W vs Bart Palaszewski Δ+30Jun 22, 2012 — L vs Ricardo Lamas Δ-29Jan 26, 2013 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-26Aug 28, 2013 — L vs Darren Elkins Δ-22Mar 1, 2014 — W vs Ivan Menjivar Δ+18Jun 28, 2014 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-16May 9, 2015 — L vs Dan Hooker Δ-17 14251468151115541597 2012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":109.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"George Roop","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":102.7,"y":73.2,"elo":1557,"date":"2012-02-25","opp":"Bart Palaszewski","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":180.8,"y":108.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2012-06-22","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":3,"x":325,"y":141.2,"elo":1502,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":466.5,"y":167.8,"elo":1480,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":588.9,"y":145.9,"elo":1498,"date":"2014-03-01","opp":"Ivan Menjivar","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":667.6,"y":165.4,"elo":1482,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":186.8,"elo":1465,"date":"2015-05-09","opp":"Dan Hooker","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2015 Dan Hooker L -17
Jun 28, 2014 Charles Oliveira L -16
Mar 1, 2014 Ivan Menjivar W +18
Aug 28, 2013 Darren Elkins L -22
Jan 26, 2013 Clay Guida L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.29 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.21 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.45 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.68 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (100%) 3

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1543
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.7
actual -1 vs expected