HonestElo
← featherweight

Nik Lentz

Inactive · Orthodox · 173 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1571 ±37
LCB 1523
Rank
—
—
UFC record
14-9-1
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 9
Streak
-3
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Jan 23, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Sep 19, 2009 — W vs Rafaello Oliveira Δ+29Jan 11, 2010 — D vs Thiago Tavares Δ-1Mar 31, 2010 — W vs Rob Emerson Δ+28Aug 28, 2010 — W vs Andre Winner Δ+27Nov 20, 2010 — W vs Tyson Griffin Δ+28Mar 26, 2011 — W vs Waylon Lowe Δ+14Dec 10, 2011 — L vs Mark Bocek Δ-20Jan 28, 2012 — L vs Evan Dunham Δ-17Aug 11, 2012 — W vs Eiji Mitsuoka Δ+12Jan 19, 2013 — W vs Diego Nunes Δ+13May 18, 2013 — W vs Hacran Dias Δ+12Dec 14, 2013 — L vs Chad Mendes Δ-16May 10, 2014 — W vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ+10May 30, 2015 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-20Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Danny Castillo Δ+14Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Michael McBride Δ+13Feb 11, 2017 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-20Nov 18, 2017 — W vs Will Brooks Δ+12Jun 1, 2018 — L vs David Teymur Δ-16Oct 6, 2018 — W vs Gray Maynard Δ+18Feb 17, 2019 — W vs Scott Holtzman Δ+13May 18, 2019 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-18Jan 25, 2020 — L vs Arnold Allen Δ-15Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Movsar Evloev Δ-16 14881534158016261672 201120132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":189,"elo":1529,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Rafaello Oliveira","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":47.4,"y":189.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Thiago Tavares","result":"D","delta":-1},{"i":2,"x":63.7,"y":158.1,"elo":1556,"date":"2010-03-31","opp":"Rob Emerson","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":94.5,"y":127.3,"elo":1582,"date":"2010-08-28","opp":"Andre Winner","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":111.8,"y":95.1,"elo":1610,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Tyson Griffin","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":137.7,"y":78.6,"elo":1624,"date":"2011-03-26","opp":"Waylon Lowe","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":190.9,"y":101.5,"elo":1605,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Mark Bocek","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":201,"y":121.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":241.3,"y":107.1,"elo":1600,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Eiji Mitsuoka","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":9,"x":274.4,"y":92.2,"elo":1613,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"Diego Nunes","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":298.9,"y":77.8,"elo":1625,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Hacran Dias","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":11,"x":342.1,"y":96.9,"elo":1609,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Chad Mendes","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":372.3,"y":85.1,"elo":1619,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":13,"x":451.4,"y":108.9,"elo":1598,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":493.2,"y":93.1,"elo":1612,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Danny Castillo","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":547.9,"y":78.4,"elo":1625,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Michael McBride","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":16,"x":579.5,"y":101.4,"elo":1605,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":637.1,"y":87.5,"elo":1617,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Will Brooks","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":18,"x":677.2,"y":106.1,"elo":1601,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"David Teymur","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":19,"x":703.3,"y":85.6,"elo":1618,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Gray Maynard","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":20,"x":730.8,"y":70.2,"elo":1632,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Scott Holtzman","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":21,"x":749.4,"y":91.4,"elo":1613,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":22,"x":801.2,"y":108.3,"elo":1599,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":23,"x":876,"y":127.4,"elo":1582,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Movsar Evloev","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 23, 2021 Movsar Evloev L -16
Jan 25, 2020 Arnold Allen L -15
May 18, 2019 Charles Oliveira L -18
Feb 17, 2019 Scott Holtzman W +13
Oct 6, 2018 Gray Maynard W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.28 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.05 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.09 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.11 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
36%
5 / 14
Finish rate
KO
3
21% of wins
SUB
2
14% of wins
DEC
9
64% of wins
KO: 3 (21%) 3 Sub: 2 (14%) 2 Dec: 9 (64%) 9
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
3 60%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1602
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
13.6
actual 0 vs expected