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Nik Lentz "The Carny"

Inactive · age 41 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • UFC veteran since 2009
Elo rating
1527
Global Elo 1570 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
14-9-1
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 9
Streak
-3
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Jan 23, 2021
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 7m
Avg fight time
12:48
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.1
Ground control
1h 36m
Since last fight
5y 5mo

Honest Elo history

24 fights · tap & drag
Sep 19, 2009 — W vs Rafaello Oliveira Δ+29Jan 11, 2010 — D vs Thiago Tavares Δ-1Mar 31, 2010 — W vs Rob Emerson Δ+28Aug 28, 2010 — W vs Andre Winner Δ+27Nov 20, 2010 — W vs Tyson Griffin Δ+28Mar 26, 2011 — W vs Waylon Lowe Δ+14Dec 10, 2011 — L vs Mark Bocek Δ-20Jan 28, 2012 — L vs Evan Dunham Δ-17Aug 11, 2012 — W vs Eiji Mitsuoka Δ+12Jan 19, 2013 — W vs Diego Nunes Δ+13May 18, 2013 — W vs Hacran Dias Δ+12Dec 14, 2013 — L vs Chad Mendes Δ-16May 10, 2014 — W vs Manvel Gamburyan Δ+10May 30, 2015 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-20Dec 19, 2015 — W vs Danny Castillo Δ+14Sep 10, 2016 — W vs Michael McBride Δ+13Feb 11, 2017 — L vs Islam Makhachev Δ-20Nov 18, 2017 — W vs Will Brooks Δ+12Jun 1, 2018 — L vs David Teymur Δ-16Oct 6, 2018 — W vs Gray Maynard Δ+18Feb 17, 2019 — W vs Scott Holtzman Δ+13May 18, 2019 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-18Jan 25, 2020 — L vs Arnold Allen Δ-15Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Movsar Evloev Δ-16 1450147515001525155015751600 201120132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":359.9,"elo":1474,"date":"2009-09-19","opp":"Rafaello Oliveira","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":109.8,"y":361.4,"elo":1473,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Thiago Tavares","result":"D","delta":-1},{"i":2,"x":123.5,"y":302.9,"elo":1500,"date":"2010-03-31","opp":"Rob Emerson","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":149.6,"y":245.9,"elo":1527,"date":"2010-08-28","opp":"Andre Winner","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":164.2,"y":186.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2010-11-20","opp":"Tyson Griffin","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":186.1,"y":156.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2011-03-26","opp":"Waylon Lowe","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":231.1,"y":198.4,"elo":1549,"date":"2011-12-10","opp":"Mark Bocek","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":239.6,"y":234.6,"elo":1532,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":8,"x":273.6,"y":208.6,"elo":1544,"date":"2012-08-11","opp":"Eiji Mitsuoka","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":9,"x":301.6,"y":181.1,"elo":1557,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"Diego Nunes","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":10,"x":322.3,"y":154.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Hacran Dias","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":11,"x":358.8,"y":189.8,"elo":1553,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Chad Mendes","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":384.3,"y":168.1,"elo":1563,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Manvel Gamburyan","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":13,"x":451.2,"y":212,"elo":1543,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":486.5,"y":182.8,"elo":1557,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Danny Castillo","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":532.7,"y":155.7,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-09-10","opp":"Michael McBride","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":16,"x":559.5,"y":198.2,"elo":1549,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Islam Makhachev","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":608.1,"y":172.6,"elo":1561,"date":"2017-11-18","opp":"Will Brooks","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":18,"x":642,"y":206.9,"elo":1545,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"David Teymur","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":19,"x":664.1,"y":168.9,"elo":1563,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Gray Maynard","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":20,"x":687.3,"y":140.6,"elo":1576,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Scott Holtzman","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":21,"x":703,"y":179.6,"elo":1558,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":22,"x":746.8,"y":211,"elo":1543,"date":"2020-01-25","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":23,"x":810,"y":246.2,"elo":1527,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Movsar Evloev","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 23, 2021 Movsar Evloev L -16
Jan 25, 2020 Arnold Allen L -15
May 18, 2019 Charles Oliveira L -18
Feb 17, 2019 Scott Holtzman W +13
Oct 6, 2018 Gray Maynard W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
36%
5 / 14
Finish rate
KO
3
21% of wins
SUB
2
14% of wins
DEC
9
64% of wins
KO: 3 (21%) 3 Sub: 2 (14%) 2 Dec: 9 (64%) 9
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
3 60%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1065 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
60% Distance
  • Distance 60%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 20%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
3 of 9 · usually R2
2 KO/TKO 1 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1602
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Gray Maynard
Elo 1589 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
13.6
+0.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 24 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1589

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Nik Lentz on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.